Questionable · Hamstring. Sleeper player record updated Oct 5, 7:10 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Wide Receiver).
Structured status · higher confidence · This signal is more than seven days old and may be stale.
Does not change value
FairPlay editorial
Rice's participation is clearer than his target floor
Rice played 83 and 79 percent of snaps, but drew only two targets in Week 1 before rising to six in Week 2. Four catches for 83 yards showed upside without a touchdown; the model's low stability component explains why FairPlay does not treat one improved game as a settled target role.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policy
Buy the role only after pricing uncertainty
Contenders can hold through week-to-week target swings when roster depth is strong. Rebuilders should compare his age-26 production with younger receivers whose roles are less dependent on situational volume.
Six Week 2 targets need repetition
Seven-plus targets, consistent snap share and repeatable intermediate work would stabilize the profile. Another two-target game on full snaps would show that participation alone does not secure fantasy opportunity.
Roster-specific plan
A productive receiver with a stability discount
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Contending roster
Win-now approach
Use him as a volatile starter or flex, not the only dependable receiver. Buy if the manager discounts the 83-yard Week 2 and the price accounts for target uncertainty.
Rebuilding roster
Long-term approach
Hold if the market is soft; sell into a strong stretch when a more insulated young receiver or premium pick becomes available. Do not accept several low-upside pieces merely to remove volatility.
Negotiation edge
Best market move
Production is 97 and market 99, but stability is only 49. FairPlay prices a high-quality outcome range with a meaningful week-to-week confidence penalty.
Evidence file · September 25, 2026
Eight total targets separate participation from opportunity
Rice played 120 offensive snaps across the two rows yet received eight targets. Week 2's 83 yards were efficient, but the volume sample remains too narrow for a target-dominant label.
The market values the upside almost as highly as the model's production input. The dispute is reliability: strong full-game participation has not yet produced a stable target floor.
FairPlay value 5,751 · Overall rank #40 · Market proxy 99 · Production 97What changes the call
How Rice reduces the stability discount
Back-to-back games with seven-plus targets would improve the weekly floor.
Full snaps with repeated low target counts would keep the role volatile.
A touchdown spike without target growth should not materially raise dynasty price.
Two deals to test
Rice trades for managers with different risk tolerance
These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Receiver floor test
Compare efficiency upside and target stability
Rashee Rice plus an adjustment ↔ DeVonta Smith
Smith has stronger early stability; Rice offers a different ceiling. The add should buy reliability, not chase one Week 2 score.
Rebuild conversion
Move volatility into younger runway
Rashee Rice ↔ a projected mid 2027 first plus a young receiver
The secondary asset must carry real value; a vague prospect does not compensate for giving up proven production.
Player-specific FAQ
Rice's value when snaps exceed targets
Why is Rashee Rice's stability score low despite high snaps?
Participation was strong, but targets swung from two to six and the model requires a more repeatable opportunity floor.
Is Rice a sell after 83 receiving yards?
Only if the market pays for a fully stable role. One efficient game improved the ceiling case but did not settle weekly target access.
7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday
Why this value
Career window
Rashee Rice is age 26, which places the career-window input at 88th percentile for WRs.
Market context
Rashee Rice carries a 99th percentile market signal and ranks #40 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is small, so the two signals broadly agree.
WR value context
Within the complete WR pool, production grades at 97th percentile, opportunity at 96th percentile, and efficiency at 70th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.
Player-specific inputs
Model value breakdown
Percentiles compare Rashee Rice with the complete current WR pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.
Market demand99%
NFL production97%
Opportunity96%
Efficiency70%
Career window88%
Draft capital72%
Dynasty manager takeaway
Market demand is the strongest part of Rashee Rice’s current profile at 99th percentile. Efficiency is the clearest source of downside at 70th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.