WR · Philadelphia Eagles
Out · Hamstring. Sleeper player record updated Oct 12, 8:35 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Wide Receiver).
Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.Smith played 95 and 88 percent of snaps, then jumped from six targets and 8.3 PPR points to 13 targets and 27.7. His role was full-time in both games; the weekly difference came from target concentration and conversion, not simply being on the field.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policyContenders can value the stable participation while accepting that targets may move around. Rebuilders can hold a 27-year-old productive receiver in a short reset or trade him for a younger core asset when the roster timeline is longer.
Seven-plus targets, red-zone work and target share in neutral game scripts determine whether Week 2 represents a larger offensive share. Full snaps with six targets still create a useful but less dominant profile.
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Start him as a high-floor receiver with week-winning upside. Buy when a manager treats Week 1 as the normal ceiling rather than one end of a wider target range.
Hold if contention is within two seasons. Otherwise use a strong game to pursue a younger receiver or premium first without taking a large current-value loss.
Stability is 96 and market demand 99, with production 93 and opportunity 88. FairPlay sees reliable access but a slightly less concentrated role than the market's top receivers.
Smith stayed above 88 percent of snaps in both games. Week 2 added seven targets, seven catches, 64 yards and a touchdown relative to Week 1, showing how target concentration drives his weekly ceiling.
The market leads opportunity more than it leads stability. Managers are paying for a proven full-time receiver whose target ceiling exists, even if it is not guaranteed every week.
FairPlay value 5,658 · Overall rank #42 · Market proxy 99 · Production 93These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
DeVonta Smith ↔ George Pickens plus an adjustment
Smith offers stronger stability; Pickens offers a different ceiling shape. The adjustment pays for repeatable access.
DeVonta Smith plus an adjustment ↔ Ladd McConkey
McConkey is younger but currently plays fewer snaps. The adjustment should reflect both age and present role.
It strengthened the ceiling case, but a second high-target game is needed before treating 13 targets as the new normal.
He plays nearly every snap, while the offense can vary how many targets reach him from week to week.
DeVonta Smith is age 27, which places the career-window input at 82th percentile for WRs.
DeVonta Smith carries a 99th percentile market signal and ranks #42 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is small, so the two signals broadly agree.
Within the complete WR pool, production grades at 93th percentile, opportunity at 89th percentile, and efficiency at 87th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.
Percentiles compare DeVonta Smith with the complete current WR pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.
Market demand is the strongest part of DeVonta Smith’s current profile at 99th percentile. Career window is the clearest source of downside at 82th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Start with DeVonta Smith in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.