WR · Jacksonville Jaguars
The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Brian Thomas Jr.. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 3 for Wide Receiver.
Brian Thomas Jr. is a 24-year-old wide receiver in FairPlay's core tier at rank #40, with a value of 5,751. For Jacksonville against Indianapolis, Week 8 2 targets matched the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. Week 5: 3 targets, 0 catches, 0 receiving yards, 51% snaps, and 0.0 yards per target. Week 6: 2 targets, 0 catches, 0 receiving yards, 21% snaps, and 0.0 yards per target. Week 8: 2 targets, 1 catch, 12 receiving yards, 52% snaps, and 6.0 yards per target. The roster snapshot lists Active, which is an administrative status and not a promise of future volume.
Generated from FairPlay and nflverse data · Reviewed November 6, 2026 · Editorial policyFairPlay's near the model ceiling market proxy (97) and elite production input (92) are close. The value is not being pulled materially in one direction by that comparison. career window is near the model ceiling; roster status is the next strongest input. role stability is steady, which keeps the recommendation conditional.
The next usable row for Jacksonville against Indianapolis needs to show whether week 8 2 targets was a one-week result or part of a stable role. Watch targets and yards per target.
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
A contender should buy or hold Brian Thomas Jr. only if the available usage does not yet prove a weekly lineup edge and the receiving role upgrades an actual lineup spot. Compare the cost with an active peer before paying for a name, a past result, or an unverified role expansion.
A rebuilder can retain Brian Thomas Jr.'s younger wide receiver window, but should sell if an offer prices more certainty than 3-week observed sample supports. Do not confuse a production lead with permanent insulation.
FairPlay values Brian Thomas Jr. at 5,751. FairPlay's market proxy and production input are close by 5 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.
Week 5: 3 targets, 0 catches, 0 receiving yards, 51% snaps, and 0.0 yards per target. Week 6: 2 targets, 0 catches, 0 receiving yards, 21% snaps, and 0.0 yards per target. Week 8: 2 targets, 1 catch, 12 receiving yards, 52% snaps, and 6.0 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.
FairPlay's near the model ceiling market proxy (97) and elite production input (92) are close. The value is not being pulled materially in one direction by that comparison.
FairPlay value 5,751 · Overall rank #40 · Market proxy 97 · Historical production input 92These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Brian Thomas Jr. ↔ Rashee Rice (calculator comparison, not a quote)
Rashee Rice has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.
Brian Thomas Jr. ↔ Kyle Pitts Sr. (calculator comparison, not a quote)
Kyle Pitts Sr. is an Active tight end with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.
For Jacksonville against Indianapolis, Week 8 2 targets matched the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is career window (100), while role stability is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.
A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 8 would test whether Brian Thomas Jr.'s latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material role stability change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.
Brian Thomas Jr. is age 24, with a career-window input score of 100/100 for WRs.
The search-rank proxy is 97/100 and the historical NFL production input is 92/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the WR statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.
Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.
Career-window input is the strongest part of Brian Thomas Jr.’s current profile at 100/100. Historical NFL efficiency input is the clearest source of downside at 73/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Start with Brian Thomas Jr. in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.