Questionable · Hamstring. Sleeper player record updated Nov 5, 9:20 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 2 (Wide Receiver).
Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.
Does not change valueData-driven analysis
FairPlay editorial
Deebo Samuel Sr.'s week 5 3 targets: what the latest row shows
Deebo Samuel Sr. is a 30-year-old wide receiver in FairPlay's starter tier at rank #138, with a value of 2,613. For San Francisco against Seattle, Week 5 3 targets fell from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. Week 2: 4 targets, 3 catches, 31 receiving yards, 60% snaps, and 7.8 yards per target. Week 4: 6 targets, 5 catches, 26 receiving yards, 67% snaps, and 4.3 yards per target. Week 5: 3 targets, 2 catches, 21 receiving yards, 43% snaps, and 7.0 yards per target. The roster snapshot lists Active, which is an administrative status and not a promise of future volume.
Generated from FairPlay and nflverse data · Reviewed November 6, 2026 · Editorial policy
roster status support and efficiency risk
FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (94) and elite production input (91) are close. The value is not being pulled materially in one direction by that comparison. roster status is near the model ceiling; role stability is the next strongest input. efficiency is uncertain, which keeps the recommendation conditional.
San Francisco against Seattle: can week 5 3 targets hold for this late-career wide receiver?
The next usable row for San Francisco against Seattle needs to show whether week 5 3 targets was a one-week result or part of a stable role. Watch targets and yards per target.
Roster-specific plan
late-career wide receiver with falling usage
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Contending roster
Win-now approach
A contender should buy or hold Deebo Samuel Sr. only if the available usage does not yet prove a weekly lineup edge and the receiving role upgrades an actual lineup spot. Compare the cost with an active peer before paying for a name, a past result, or an unverified role expansion.
Rebuilding roster
Long-term approach
A rebuilder should shop Deebo Samuel Sr. for draft liquidity or a younger asset when another roster values the current tier more than the remaining career window. 3-week observed sample is a reason to set a bounded price, not to wait for an invented future role.
Negotiation edge
Best market move
FairPlay values Deebo Samuel Sr. at 2,613. FairPlay's market proxy and production input are close by 3 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.
Evidence file · November 6, 2026
Week 5 3 targets for San Francisco against Seattle
Week 2: 4 targets, 3 catches, 31 receiving yards, 60% snaps, and 7.8 yards per target. Week 4: 6 targets, 5 catches, 26 receiving yards, 67% snaps, and 4.3 yards per target. Week 5: 3 targets, 2 catches, 21 receiving yards, 43% snaps, and 7.0 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.
FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (94) and elite production input (91) are close. The value is not being pulled materially in one direction by that comparison.
FairPlay value 2,613 · Overall rank #138 · Market proxy 94 · Historical production input 91What changes the call
What would change the call on Deebo Samuel Sr.
A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 5 would test whether Deebo Samuel Sr.'s latest role is repeatable.
A material move in efficiency, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
A wider split between the FairPlay market proxy and production-model input would change the currently aligned valuation case.
Two deals to test
Deebo Samuel Sr.: calculator checks after week 5 3 targets
These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Same-position comparison
Deebo Samuel Sr. or Stefon Diggs for a lineup spot?
Deebo Samuel Sr. ↔ Stefon Diggs (calculator comparison, not a quote)
Stefon Diggs has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.
Roster-build comparison
Would Juwan Johnson fit this roster better than Deebo Samuel Sr.?
Deebo Samuel Sr. ↔ Juwan Johnson (calculator comparison, not a quote)
Juwan Johnson is an Active tight end with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.
Player-specific FAQ
Deebo Samuel Sr. dynasty value questions
Does Deebo Samuel Sr.'s falling target volume support the starter tier for a late-career wide receiver?
For San Francisco against Seattle, Week 5 3 targets fell from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while efficiency is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.
Would weaker uncertain efficiency outweigh near the model ceiling roster status for Deebo Samuel Sr.?
A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 5 would test whether Deebo Samuel Sr.'s latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material efficiency change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.
7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday
Why this value
Career window
Deebo Samuel Sr. is age 30, with a career-window input score of 68/100 for WRs.
Market context
The search-rank proxy is 94/100 and the historical NFL production input is 91/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
WR value context
Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the WR statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.
Player-specific inputs
Model value breakdown
Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.
Sleeper search-rank proxy94/100
Historical NFL production input91/100
Historical NFL opportunity input84/100
Historical NFL efficiency input63/100
Career-window input68/100
Draft-capital input76/100
Dynasty manager takeaway
Sleeper search-rank proxy is the strongest part of Deebo Samuel Sr.’s current profile at 94/100. Historical NFL efficiency input is the clearest source of downside at 63/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.