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Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR · San Francisco 49ers

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Dynasty trade value 2,613
Dynasty rank#138out of all players
WR rank#61out of WRs
Age30years
7-day change+18+0.7%
Availability watch · Questionable

Questionable · Hamstring. Sleeper player record updated Nov 5, 9:20 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 2 (Wide Receiver).

Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.
Does not change value
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

late-career wide receiver with falling usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender should buy or hold Deebo Samuel Sr. only if the available usage does not yet prove a weekly lineup edge and the receiving role upgrades an actual lineup spot. Compare the cost with an active peer before paying for a name, a past result, or an unverified role expansion.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should shop Deebo Samuel Sr. for draft liquidity or a younger asset when another roster values the current tier more than the remaining career window. 3-week observed sample is a reason to set a bounded price, not to wait for an invented future role.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Deebo Samuel Sr. at 2,613. FairPlay's market proxy and production input are close by 3 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 5 3 targets for San Francisco against Seattle

Week 2: 4 targets, 3 catches, 31 receiving yards, 60% snaps, and 7.8 yards per target. Week 4: 6 targets, 5 catches, 26 receiving yards, 67% snaps, and 4.3 yards per target. Week 5: 3 targets, 2 catches, 21 receiving yards, 43% snaps, and 7.0 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 4 and 5

  • Week 4: 6 targets · 5 receptions · 26 receiving yards · 1 rec TD · 67% snaps · 18.0 PPR
  • Week 5: 3 targets · 2 receptions · 21 receiving yards · 0 rec TD · 43% snaps · 2.5 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

4-point market premium

FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (94) and elite production input (91) are close. The value is not being pulled materially in one direction by that comparison.

FairPlay value 2,613 · Overall rank #138 · Market proxy 94 · Historical production input 91
What changes the call

What would change the call on Deebo Samuel Sr.

  • A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 5 would test whether Deebo Samuel Sr.'s latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in efficiency, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A wider split between the FairPlay market proxy and production-model input would change the currently aligned valuation case.
Two deals to test

Deebo Samuel Sr.: calculator checks after week 5 3 targets

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Deebo Samuel Sr. or Stefon Diggs for a lineup spot?

Deebo Samuel Sr. ↔ Stefon Diggs (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Stefon Diggs has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would Juwan Johnson fit this roster better than Deebo Samuel Sr.?

Deebo Samuel Sr. ↔ Juwan Johnson (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Juwan Johnson is an Active tight end with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Deebo Samuel Sr. dynasty value questions

Does Deebo Samuel Sr.'s falling target volume support the starter tier for a late-career wide receiver?

For San Francisco against Seattle, Week 5 3 targets fell from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while efficiency is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Would weaker uncertain efficiency outweigh near the model ceiling roster status for Deebo Samuel Sr.?

A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 5 would test whether Deebo Samuel Sr.'s latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material efficiency change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Deebo Samuel Sr. is age 30, with a career-window input score of 68/100 for WRs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 94/100 and the historical NFL production input is 91/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.

WR value context

Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the WR statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy94/100
Historical NFL production input91/100
Historical NFL opportunity input84/100
Historical NFL efficiency input63/100
Career-window input68/100
Draft-capital input76/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Sleeper search-rank proxy is the strongest part of Deebo Samuel Sr.’s current profile at 94/100. Historical NFL efficiency input is the clearest source of downside at 63/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Parker WashingtonWR · JAX · Rank #1372,631
Sam DarnoldQB · SEA · Rank #1392,595
Theo JohnsonTE · NYG · Rank #1362,649

See if your trade is fair

Start with Deebo Samuel Sr. in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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