The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Theo Johnson. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 2 for Tight End.
Observation onlyData-driven analysis
FairPlay editorial
Theo Johnson's week 5 3 targets: what the latest row shows
Theo Johnson is a 25-year-old tight end in FairPlay's starter tier at rank #136, with a value of 2,649. For the Giants against Washington, Week 5 3 targets rose from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. Week 2: 4 targets, 0 catches, 0 receiving yards, 28% snaps, and 0.0 yards per target. Week 4: 1 target, 1 catch, 11 receiving yards, 33% snaps, and 11.0 yards per target. Week 5: 3 targets, 2 catches, 35 receiving yards, 48% snaps, and 11.7 yards per target. The roster snapshot lists Active, which is an administrative status and not a promise of future volume.
Generated from FairPlay and nflverse data · Reviewed November 6, 2026 · Editorial policy
career window support and draft capital risk
FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (94) is above its solid production input (82). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price. career window is near the model ceiling; roster status is the next strongest input. draft capital is very low, which keeps the recommendation conditional.
the Giants against Washington: can week 5 3 targets hold for this mid-20s tight end?
The next usable row for the Giants against Washington needs to show whether week 5 3 targets was a one-week result or part of a stable role. Watch targets and yards per target.
Roster-specific plan
mid-20s tight end with rising usage
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Contending roster
Win-now approach
A contender should treat Theo Johnson as a lineup purchase only when the available usage does not yet prove a weekly lineup edge and the tight-end edge exceeds a cheaper active alternative. Do not use the current profile to assume routes, targets, or a guaranteed scoring outcome.
Rebuilding roster
Long-term approach
A rebuilder can retain Theo Johnson's younger tight end window, but should sell if an offer prices more certainty than 3-week observed sample supports. The market-over-production gap is the cleanest point to test a liquidity gain.
Negotiation edge
Best market move
FairPlay values Theo Johnson at 2,649. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 12 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.
Evidence file · November 6, 2026
Week 5 3 targets for the Giants against Washington
Week 2: 4 targets, 0 catches, 0 receiving yards, 28% snaps, and 0.0 yards per target. Week 4: 1 target, 1 catch, 11 receiving yards, 33% snaps, and 11.0 yards per target. Week 5: 3 targets, 2 catches, 35 receiving yards, 48% snaps, and 11.7 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.
FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (94) is above its solid production input (82). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.
FairPlay value 2,649 · Overall rank #136 · Market proxy 94 · Historical production input 82What changes the call
What would change the call on Theo Johnson
A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 5 would test whether Theo Johnson's latest role is repeatable.
A material move in draft capital, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the career window-led thesis.
A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 12 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test
Theo Johnson: calculator checks after week 5 3 targets
These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Same-position comparison
Theo Johnson or AJ Barner for a lineup spot?
Theo Johnson ↔ AJ Barner (calculator comparison, not a quote)
AJ Barner has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.
Roster-build comparison
Would Bryce Young fit this roster better than Theo Johnson?
Theo Johnson ↔ Bryce Young (calculator comparison, not a quote)
Bryce Young is an Active quarterback with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.
Player-specific FAQ
Theo Johnson dynasty value questions
Does Theo Johnson's rising target volume support the starter tier for a mid-20s tight end?
For the Giants against Washington, Week 5 3 targets rose from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is career window (100), while draft capital is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.
Does week 5 3 targets justify the market-proxy lead for Theo Johnson, a mid-20s starter-tier tight end?
A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 5 would test whether Theo Johnson's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material draft capital change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.
7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday
Why this value
Career window
Theo Johnson is age 25, with a career-window input score of 100/100 for TEs.
Market context
The search-rank proxy is 94/100 and the historical NFL production input is 82/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
TE value context
Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the TE statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.
Player-specific inputs
Model value breakdown
Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.
Sleeper search-rank proxy94/100
Historical NFL production input82/100
Historical NFL opportunity input85/100
Historical NFL efficiency input57/100
Career-window input100/100
Draft-capital input41/100
Dynasty manager takeaway
Career-window input is the strongest part of Theo Johnson’s current profile at 100/100. Draft-capital input is the clearest source of downside at 41/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.