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Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

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Dynasty trade value 2,595
Dynasty rank#139out of all players
QB rank#25out of QBs
Age29years
7-day change-18-0.7%
Availability watch · Out

Out · Quadriceps. Sleeper player record updated Nov 5, 3:45 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Quarterback).

Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.
Does not change value
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

established quarterback with rising usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender should keep or acquire Sam Darnold only when the recent workload helps a real starting decision and the roster still retains enough playable Superflex access. Do not pay the market-proxy premium without accepting the production gap.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should compare Sam Darnold's current liquidity with a future pick or younger position asset before deciding to hold. The 3-week observed sample should determine the price floor; it does not forecast the next season.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Sam Darnold at 2,595. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 22 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 8 34 attempts for Seattle against Chicago

Week 6: 51 attempts, 278 passing yards, 2 carries, 100% snaps, and 5.5 yards per attempt. Week 7: 28 attempts, 257 passing yards, 2 carries, 100% snaps, and 9.2 yards per attempt. Week 8: 34 attempts, 188 passing yards, 2 carries, 100% snaps, and 5.5 yards per attempt. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 7 and 8

  • Week 7: 28 attempts · 257 pass yards · 2 carries · 100% snaps · 14.0 PPR
  • Week 8: 34 attempts · 188 pass yards · 2 carries · 100% snaps · 17.5 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

22-point market premium

FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (96) is above its steady production input (74). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.

FairPlay value 2,595 · Overall rank #139 · Market proxy 96 · Historical production input 74
What changes the call

What would change the call on Sam Darnold

  • A second verified row that materially changes attempt volume and passing efficiency from Week 8 would test whether Sam Darnold's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in opportunity, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 22 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test

Sam Darnold: calculator checks after week 8 34 attempts

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Sam Darnold or Bryce Young for a lineup spot?

Sam Darnold ↔ Bryce Young (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Bryce Young has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would Deebo Samuel Sr. fit this roster better than Sam Darnold?

Sam Darnold ↔ Deebo Samuel Sr. (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Deebo Samuel Sr. is an Active wide receiver with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Sam Darnold dynasty value questions

Does Sam Darnold's rising passing volume support the starter tier for an established quarterback?

For Seattle against Chicago, Week 8 34 attempts rose from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while opportunity is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Does week 8 34 attempts justify the market-proxy lead for Sam Darnold, an established starter-tier quarterback?

A second verified row that materially changes attempt volume and passing efficiency from Week 8 would test whether Sam Darnold's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material opportunity change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Sam Darnold is age 29, with a career-window input score of 88/100 for QBs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 96/100 and the historical NFL production input is 74/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.

QB value context

Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the QB statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy96/100
Historical NFL production input74/100
Historical NFL opportunity input60/100
Historical NFL efficiency input75/100
Career-window input88/100
Draft-capital input92/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Sleeper search-rank proxy is the strongest part of Sam Darnold’s current profile at 96/100. Historical NFL opportunity input is the clearest source of downside at 60/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF · Rank #1382,613
Bryce YoungQB · CAR · Rank #1402,577
Parker WashingtonWR · JAX · Rank #1372,631

See if your trade is fair

Start with Sam Darnold in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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