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Zay Flowers

WR · Baltimore Ravens

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Dynasty trade value 5,893
Dynasty rank#37out of all players
WR rank#13out of WRs
Age26years
7-day change-296-4.8%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Zay Flowers. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Wide Receiver.

Observation only
Roster-specific plan

A prime-age receiver with a misleadingly strong single row

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

Start only after confirming active status and normal role. Buy when the price reflects uncertainty, not when the seller annualizes 25 yards per target.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

Hold through a short reset. Sell for a younger target earner or premium first when the league treats the 150-yard game as repeatable efficiency.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

Market demand is 98, production 94 and efficiency 85, while stability remains 90 in the broader model. The current file adds a participation caveat that the overall score alone cannot show.

Evidence file · September 25, 2026

Twenty-nine percent of snaps produced an outlier result

Flowers earned a 25 percent target share and 33.8 percent air-yard share in one game, but he logged only 20 snaps. There is no second matched week to test whether the role or efficiency persisted.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 4 and 5

  • Week 4: 10 targets · 8-118 receiving · 1 rec TD · 73% snaps · 25.8 PPR
  • Week 5: 9 targets · 8-53 receiving · 0 rec TD · 82% snaps · 14.6 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

4-point market premium

Market and production broadly agree. The actionable uncertainty is sample quality: one highly efficient partial-participation row cannot establish a normal weekly floor.

FairPlay value 5,893 · Overall rank #37 · Market proxy 98 · Production 94
What changes the call

Evidence needed after the explosive opener

  • A verified full game with six-plus targets would make the early opportunity more credible.
  • Normal snaps with a large target-share decline would lower the weekly floor.
  • Another explosive play can help scoring without proving the efficiency rate is sustainable.
Two deals to test

Flowers trades should discount the incomplete sample

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Receiver floor test

Compare explosive efficiency and full-time targets

Zay Flowers plus an adjustment ↔ Tee Higgins

Higgins has two verified games and stronger target-quality continuity. Flowers offers a different explosive ceiling but needs normal participation evidence.

Rebuild age move

Exchange prime years for a younger target profile

Zay Flowers ↔ Tetairoa McMillan plus an adjustment

McMillan is younger with stronger two-week concentration; Flowers has a longer NFL baseline. The add should follow evidence and age.

Player-specific FAQ

Flowers after 150 yards on limited snaps

Was Zay Flowers' 150-yard game a dynasty breakout?

It was an excellent result, but one partial-snap game cannot establish a new weekly role or sustainable efficiency level.

What should managers verify before trading for Flowers?

Confirm current participation and target volume from a matched game or first-party source instead of relying only on the explosive box score.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Zay Flowers is age 26, which places the career-window input at 88th percentile for WRs.

Market context

Zay Flowers carries a 98th percentile market signal and ranks #37 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is small, so the two signals broadly agree.

WR value context

Within the complete WR pool, production grades at 94th percentile, opportunity at 89th percentile, and efficiency at 85th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Percentiles compare Zay Flowers with the complete current WR pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.

Market demand98%
NFL production94%
Opportunity89%
Efficiency85%
Career window88%
Draft capital89%
Dynasty manager takeaway

Market demand is the strongest part of Zay Flowers’s current profile at 98th percentile. Efficiency is the clearest source of downside at 85th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Justin JeffersonWR · MIN · Rank #385,846
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET · Rank #365,942
Kyle PittsTE · ATL · Rank #395,798

See if your trade is fair

Start with Zay Flowers in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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