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Kyler Murray

QB · Minnesota Vikings

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Dynasty trade value 6,040
Dynasty rank#34out of all players
QB rank#12out of QBs
Age29years
7-day change-355-5.6%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Kyler Murray. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Quarterback.

Observation only
Roster-specific plan

An established quarterback with incomplete current evidence

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

Hold only with another viable starting option until current participation is clearer. Do not sell an established quarterback at a partial-row discount unless the return solves an actual lineup constraint.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

Murray can remain a valuable quarterback asset, but a long rebuild should listen to offers for younger secure starters or a strong multi-asset package. Avoid a sale based solely on the incomplete file.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

Market is 96, production 90 and opportunity 95, while stability is 73. The limited 11-snap row explains why current certainty deserves separate treatment from the larger model.

Evidence file · September 25, 2026

Eleven snaps are not a full quarterback sample

The file records two rushing attempts and no normal passing workload on 17 percent participation. It supplies no reliable trend in volume or efficiency.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 4 and 5

  • Week 4: 37 attempts · 247 pass yards · 6 carries · 100% snaps · 11.5 PPR
  • Week 5: 30 attempts · 229 pass yards · 10 carries · 100% snaps · 18.3 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

7-point market premium

The market and model reflect Murray's larger quarterback profile; the current usage row is incomplete. FairPlay does not fill that gap with guesses about injury, depth chart or return timing.

FairPlay value 6,040 · Overall rank #34 · Market proxy 96 · Production 90
What changes the call

What makes Murray's current evidence usable

  • A full-participation matched row would provide a valid current baseline.
  • Normal passing attempt volume would matter more than another short rushing sample.
  • Additional partial rows without context would keep stability discounted.
Two deals to test

Murray trades require a partial-sample discount

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Superflex floor swap

Choose established upside or current full-game evidence

Kyler Murray plus a 2027 second ↔ Jared Goff

Goff offers a different profile, but the buyer should not assume Murray's partial row represents a permanent role change.

Rebuild pivot

Move quarterback ceiling into a younger starter

Kyler Murray plus a future first ↔ C.J. Stroud

The Stroud side needs a meaningful add because quarterback scarcity matters; it is not a trade justified by eleven snaps alone.

Player-specific FAQ

Murray after a 17-percent participation row

Should managers treat Kyler Murray's 11-snap row as a normal game?

No. It is explicitly a partial participation record and does not contain the passing volume needed for a usual quarterback evaluation.

Does Murray's two-carry sample change his dynasty rushing outlook?

No. Two carries for nine yards on 11 snaps are too small to redefine a long-term rushing expectation.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Kyler Murray is age 29, which places the career-window input at 88th percentile for QBs.

Market context

Kyler Murray carries a 96th percentile market signal and ranks #34 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is small, so the two signals broadly agree.

QB value context

Within the complete QB pool, production grades at 90th percentile, opportunity at 95th percentile, and efficiency at 79th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Percentiles compare Kyler Murray with the complete current QB pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.

Market demand96%
NFL production90%
Opportunity95%
Efficiency79%
Career window88%
Draft capital93%
Dynasty manager takeaway

Market demand is the strongest part of Kyler Murray’s current profile at 96th percentile. Efficiency is the clearest source of downside at 79th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Jordyn TysonWR · NO · Rank #336,089
Tucker KraftTE · GB · Rank #355,990
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET · Rank #365,942

See if your trade is fair

Start with Kyler Murray in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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