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Kaelon Black

RB · San Francisco 49ers

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Dynasty trade value 2,762
Dynasty rank#130out of all players
RB rank#27out of RBs
Age25years
7-day change+0+0.0%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Kaelon Black. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 2 for Running Back.

Observation only
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

prime-window running back with falling usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender can use Kaelon Black when the recent workload helps a real starting decision; price the asset for the current title window, not for an indefinite workload. Keep a replacement option because backfield usage can move quickly.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should compare Kaelon Black's current liquidity with a future pick or younger position asset before deciding to hold. The 3-week observed sample should determine the price floor; it does not forecast the next season.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Kaelon Black at 2,762. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 14 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 9 11 touches for San Francisco against Las Vegas

Week 6: 8 carries, 1 target, 9 touches, 23% snaps, and 4.1 yards per touch. Week 7: 12 carries, 3 targets, 13 touches, 47% snaps, and 4.5 yards per touch. Week 9: 11 carries, 0 targets, 11 touches, 25% snaps, and 6.4 yards per touch. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 7 and 9

  • Week 7: 12 carries · 3 targets · 1 receptions · -4 receiving yards · 47% snaps · 10.9 PPR
  • Week 9: 11 carries · 0 targets · 0 receptions · 0 receiving yards · 25% snaps · 7.0 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

Projection input comparison

FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (94) is above its solid production input (80). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.

FairPlay value 2,762 · Overall rank #130 · Market proxy 94 · Projected production input 80
What changes the call

What would change the call on Kaelon Black

  • A second verified row that materially changes touch volume and yards per touch from Week 9 would test whether Kaelon Black's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in draft capital, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 14 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test

Kaelon Black: calculator checks after week 9 11 touches

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Kaelon Black or Mike Washington Jr. for a lineup spot?

Kaelon Black ↔ Mike Washington Jr. (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Mike Washington Jr. has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would AJ Barner fit this roster better than Kaelon Black?

Kaelon Black ↔ AJ Barner (calculator comparison, not a quote)

AJ Barner is an Active tight end with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Kaelon Black dynasty value questions

Does Kaelon Black's falling touch volume support the starter tier for a prime-window running back?

For San Francisco against Las Vegas, Week 9 11 touches fell from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while draft capital is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Does week 9 11 touches justify the market-proxy lead for Kaelon Black, a prime-window starter-tier running back?

A second verified row that materially changes touch volume and yards per touch from Week 9 would test whether Kaelon Black's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material draft capital change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Kaelon Black is age 25, with a career-window input score of 81/100 for RBs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 94/100. Production, opportunity and efficiency are projection-derived inputs, not measured NFL performance. Agreement among these inputs is not independent on-field confirmation.

RB value context

These RB projection inputs combine prior information; they are not observed NFL percentiles. Current-season weekly records are shown separately and do not change the published production window.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. Projection-derived scores are estimates. They do not establish a measured NFL role, even when a separate current-season weekly record exists. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy94/100
Projected production input80/100
Projected opportunity input96/100
Projected efficiency input74/100
Career-window input81/100
Draft-capital input55/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Projected opportunity input is the strongest part of Kaelon Black’s current profile at 96/100. Draft-capital input is the clearest source of downside at 55/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Jake FergusonTE · DAL · Rank #1292,781
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS · Rank #1312,743
Tank DellWR · HOU · Rank #1282,800

See if your trade is fair

Start with Kaelon Black in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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