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Jake Ferguson

TE · Dallas Cowboys

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Dynasty trade value 2,781
Dynasty rank#129out of all players
TE rank#22out of TEs
Age27years
7-day change+0+0.0%
Availability watch · Questionable

Questionable · Ankle. Sleeper player record updated Nov 5, 12:15 AM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Tight End).

Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.
Does not change value
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

established tight end with rising usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender should treat Jake Ferguson as a lineup purchase only when the available usage does not yet prove a weekly lineup edge and the tight-end edge exceeds a cheaper active alternative. Do not use the current profile to assume routes, targets, or a guaranteed scoring outcome.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should compare Jake Ferguson's current liquidity with a future pick or younger position asset before deciding to hold. The 3-week observed sample should determine the price floor; it does not forecast the next season.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Jake Ferguson at 2,781. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 6 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 9 2 targets for Dallas against Indianapolis

Week 6: 3 targets, 2 catches, 13 receiving yards, 54% snaps, and 4.3 yards per target. Week 7: 1 target, 0 catches, 0 receiving yards, 56% snaps, and 0.0 yards per target. Week 9: 2 targets, 2 catches, 21 receiving yards, 34% snaps, and 10.5 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 8 and 9

  • Week 8: targets unavailable · receptions unavailable · receiving yards unavailable · rec TD unavailable · 5% snaps · PPR points unavailable
  • Week 9: 2 targets · 2 receptions · 21 receiving yards · 1 rec TD · 34% snaps · 10.1 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

6-point market premium

FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (96) is above its elite production input (90). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.

FairPlay value 2,781 · Overall rank #129 · Market proxy 96 · Historical production input 90
What changes the call

What would change the call on Jake Ferguson

  • A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Jake Ferguson's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in draft capital, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 6 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test

Jake Ferguson: calculator checks after week 9 2 targets

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Jake Ferguson or Pat Freiermuth for a lineup spot?

Jake Ferguson ↔ Pat Freiermuth (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Pat Freiermuth has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would Tank Dell fit this roster better than Jake Ferguson?

Jake Ferguson ↔ Tank Dell (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Tank Dell is an Active wide receiver with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Jake Ferguson dynasty value questions

Does Jake Ferguson's rising target volume support the starter tier for an established tight end?

For Dallas against Indianapolis, Week 9 2 targets rose from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while draft capital is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Does week 9 2 targets justify the market-proxy lead for Jake Ferguson, an established starter-tier tight end?

A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Jake Ferguson's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material draft capital change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Jake Ferguson is age 27, with a career-window input score of 88/100 for TEs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 96/100 and the historical NFL production input is 90/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.

TE value context

Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the TE statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy96/100
Historical NFL production input90/100
Historical NFL opportunity input93/100
Historical NFL efficiency input45/100
Career-window input88/100
Draft-capital input37/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Sleeper search-rank proxy is the strongest part of Jake Ferguson’s current profile at 96/100. Draft-capital input is the clearest source of downside at 37/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Tank DellWR · HOU · Rank #1282,800
Kaelon BlackRB · SF · Rank #1302,762
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS · Rank #1312,743

See if your trade is fair

Start with Jake Ferguson in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

Build a Superflex trade