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Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

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Dynasty trade value 1,847
Dynasty rank#188out of all players
QB rank#31out of QBs
Age31years
7-day change+0+0.0%
Availability watch · Questionable

Questionable · Concussion. Sleeper player record updated Nov 5, 7:30 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Quarterback).

Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.
Does not change value
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

established quarterback with rising usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender should keep or acquire Deshaun Watson only when the recent workload helps a real starting decision and the roster still retains enough playable Superflex access. Do not pay the market-proxy premium without accepting the production gap.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should compare Deshaun Watson's current liquidity with a future pick or younger position asset before deciding to hold. The 3-week observed sample should determine the price floor; it does not forecast the next season.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Deshaun Watson at 1,847. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 15 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 8 39 attempts for Cleveland against Pittsburgh

Week 6: 26 attempts, 164 passing yards, 8 carries, 100% snaps, and 6.3 yards per attempt. Week 7: 36 attempts, 308 passing yards, 3 carries, 100% snaps, and 8.6 yards per attempt. Week 8: 39 attempts, 324 passing yards, 3 carries, 94% snaps, and 8.3 yards per attempt. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 7 and 8

  • Week 7: 36 attempts · 308 pass yards · 3 carries · 100% snaps · 18.2 PPR
  • Week 8: 39 attempts · 324 pass yards · 3 carries · 94% snaps · 11.2 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

15-point market premium

FairPlay's high-end market proxy (88) is above its steady production input (73). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.

FairPlay value 1,847 · Overall rank #188 · Market proxy 88 · Historical production input 73
What changes the call

What would change the call on Deshaun Watson

  • A second verified row that materially changes attempt volume and passing efficiency from Week 8 would test whether Deshaun Watson's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in role stability, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 15 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test

Deshaun Watson: calculator checks after week 8 39 attempts

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Deshaun Watson or Geno Smith for a lineup spot?

Deshaun Watson ↔ Geno Smith (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Geno Smith has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would Alvin Kamara fit this roster better than Deshaun Watson?

Deshaun Watson ↔ Alvin Kamara (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Alvin Kamara is an Active running back with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Deshaun Watson dynasty value questions

Does Deshaun Watson's rising passing volume support the depth tier for an established quarterback?

For Cleveland against Pittsburgh, Week 8 39 attempts rose from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while role stability is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Does week 8 39 attempts justify the market-proxy lead for Deshaun Watson, an established depth-tier quarterback?

A second verified row that materially changes attempt volume and passing efficiency from Week 8 would test whether Deshaun Watson's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material role stability change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Deshaun Watson is age 31, with a career-window input score of 77/100 for QBs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 88/100 and the historical NFL production input is 73/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.

QB value context

Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the QB statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy88/100
Historical NFL production input73/100
Historical NFL opportunity input84/100
Historical NFL efficiency input53/100
Career-window input77/100
Draft-capital input91/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Draft-capital input is the strongest part of Deshaun Watson’s current profile at 91/100. Historical NFL efficiency input is the clearest source of downside at 53/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Alvin KamaraRB · NO · Rank #1891,835
Nicholas SingletonRB · TEN · Rank #1871,860
Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN · Rank #1901,822

See if your trade is fair

Start with Deshaun Watson in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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