Start a trade

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Back to rankings
Dynasty trade value 1,835
Dynasty rank#189out of all players
RB rank#44out of RBs
Age31years
7-day change+0+0.0%
Availability watch · Questionable

Questionable · Back. Sleeper player record updated Nov 5, 9:20 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Running Back).

Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.
Does not change value
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

late-career running back with falling usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender can use Alvin Kamara when the recent workload helps a real starting decision; price the asset for the current title window, not for an indefinite workload. A short competitive window is required to justify holding the risk.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should shop Alvin Kamara for draft liquidity or a younger asset when another roster values the current tier more than the remaining career window. 3-week observed sample is a reason to set a bounded price, not to wait for an invented future role.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Alvin Kamara at 1,835. FairPlay's market proxy and production input are close by 3 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 9 9 touches for New Orleans against Cleveland

Week 6: 7 carries, 4 targets, 9 touches, 26% snaps, and 7.7 yards per touch. Week 7: 6 carries, 7 targets, 13 touches, 56% snaps, and 4.8 yards per touch. Week 9: 6 carries, 4 targets, 9 touches, 49% snaps, and 5.4 yards per touch. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 7 and 9

  • Week 7: 6 carries · 7 targets · 7 receptions · 57 receiving yards · 56% snaps · 13.2 PPR
  • Week 9: 6 carries · 4 targets · 3 receptions · 17 receiving yards · 49% snaps · 7.9 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

3-point market premium

FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (95) and elite production input (92) are close. The value is not being pulled materially in one direction by that comparison.

FairPlay value 1,835 · Overall rank #189 · Market proxy 95 · Historical production input 92
What changes the call

What would change the call on Alvin Kamara

  • A second verified row that materially changes touch volume and yards per touch from Week 9 would test whether Alvin Kamara's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in efficiency, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A wider split between the FairPlay market proxy and production-model input would change the currently aligned valuation case.
Two deals to test

Alvin Kamara: calculator checks after week 9 9 touches

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Alvin Kamara or Aaron Jones Sr. for a lineup spot?

Alvin Kamara ↔ Aaron Jones Sr. (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Aaron Jones Sr. has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would Deshaun Watson fit this roster better than Alvin Kamara?

Alvin Kamara ↔ Deshaun Watson (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Deshaun Watson is an Active quarterback with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Alvin Kamara dynasty value questions

Does Alvin Kamara's falling touch volume support the depth tier for a late-career running back?

For New Orleans against Cleveland, Week 9 9 touches fell from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while efficiency is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Would weaker very low efficiency outweigh near the model ceiling roster status for Alvin Kamara?

A second verified row that materially changes touch volume and yards per touch from Week 9 would test whether Alvin Kamara's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material efficiency change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Alvin Kamara is age 31, with a career-window input score of 43/100 for RBs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 95/100 and the historical NFL production input is 92/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.

RB value context

Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the RB statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy95/100
Historical NFL production input92/100
Historical NFL opportunity input97/100
Historical NFL efficiency input41/100
Career-window input43/100
Draft-capital input59/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Historical NFL opportunity input is the strongest part of Alvin Kamara’s current profile at 97/100. Historical NFL efficiency input is the clearest source of downside at 41/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Deshaun WatsonQB · CLE · Rank #1881,847
Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN · Rank #1901,822
Nicholas SingletonRB · TEN · Rank #1871,860

See if your trade is fair

Start with Alvin Kamara in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

Build a Superflex trade