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Dalton Kincaid

TE · Buffalo Bills

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Dynasty trade value 5,476
Dynasty rank#46out of all players
TE rank#9out of TEs
Age26years
7-day change-417-7.1%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Dalton Kincaid. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Tight End.

Observation only
Roster-specific plan

A productive tight end forcing a tier review

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

Start and hold. Buy if a manager is anchored to the snap percentage rather than the 14 targets, but do not sacrifice a foundational quarterback for a two-week tight-end surge.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

Hold through a short reset or sell only for a young cornerstone, premium quarterback help, or top-end draft capital. A pile of ordinary picks does not reflect his productive age window.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

Efficiency is 92, market 97, production 88 and stability 72. The market is paying for a high-end pass-catching outcome while the model waits for more role duration.

Evidence file · September 25, 2026

Fourteen targets outweighed a six-point snap decline

Kincaid added two targets, two catches and 35 yards in Week 2 even with six fewer participation points. The current evidence supports target quality rather than a full-snap narrative.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 4 and 5

  • Week 4: 2 targets · 1-7 receiving · 0 rec TD · 59% snaps · 1.7 PPR
  • Week 5: 2 targets · 1-7 receiving · 0 rec TD · 70% snaps · 3.7 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

9-point market premium

Market demand exceeds production by nine points. The target surge supports the price, but stability still requires more than two rows of exceptional yardage.

FairPlay value 5,476 · Overall rank #46 · Market proxy 97 · Production 88
What changes the call

What keeps Kincaid in the upper tight-end tier

  • Six-plus targets on similar participation would validate the floor.
  • A third efficient game without a touchdown would strengthen the role case.
  • A multiweek target fall would matter more than inevitable yardage regression.
Two deals to test

Kincaid trades should price current target quality

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

TE tier test

Compare target surge with a higher stability profile

Dalton Kincaid plus a 2027 second ↔ Sam LaPorta

LaPorta commands the add for age and established elite standing; Kincaid supplies the stronger current two-row yardage file.

Rebuild conversion

Turn a tight-end heater into receiver longevity

Dalton Kincaid ↔ a projected 2027 first plus a young receiver

The receiver must carry actual independent value; the pick cannot be assumed early simply because Kincaid started hot.

Player-specific FAQ

Kincaid's value after 225 yards

Is Dalton Kincaid's 225-yard two-game pace sustainable?

It should not be projected literally. The durable signal is 14 targets and 12 catches; the yards will naturally vary.

Why can Kincaid be valuable on 66 percent snaps?

Tight-end value follows targets and their quality. His second row had fewer participation points but more targets, catches and yards.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Dalton Kincaid is age 26, which places the career-window input at 94th percentile for TEs.

Market context

Dalton Kincaid carries a 97th percentile market signal and ranks #46 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is positive, meaning dynasty demand currently runs ahead of the production input.

TE value context

Within the complete TE pool, production grades at 88th percentile, opportunity at 87th percentile, and efficiency at 92th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Percentiles compare Dalton Kincaid with the complete current TE pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.

Market demand97%
NFL production88%
Opportunity87%
Efficiency92%
Career window94%
Draft capital89%
Dynasty manager takeaway

Market demand is the strongest part of Dalton Kincaid’s current profile at 97th percentile. Opportunity is the clearest source of downside at 87th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Ty SimpsonQB · LAR · Rank #455,521
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET · Rank #475,431
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND · Rank #485,387

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Start with Dalton Kincaid in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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