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Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Atlanta Falcons

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Dynasty trade value 2,212
Dynasty rank#162out of all players
QB rank#28out of QBs
Age28years
7-day change+15+0.7%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Tua Tagovailoa. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 2 for Quarterback.

Observation only
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

established quarterback with unconfirmed usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender should keep or acquire Tua Tagovailoa only when the available usage does not yet prove a weekly lineup edge and the roster still retains enough playable Superflex access. Do not pay the market-proxy premium without accepting the production gap.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should compare Tua Tagovailoa's current liquidity with a future pick or younger position asset before deciding to hold. The 1-week observed sample should determine the price floor; it does not forecast the next season.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Tua Tagovailoa at 2,212. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 15 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 5 3 attempts for Atlanta against Baltimore

Week 5: 3 attempts, 34 passing yards, 0 carries, 5% snaps, and 11.3 yards per attempt. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 5

  • Week 5: 3 attempts · 34 pass yards · 0 carries · 5% snaps · -0.6 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

15-point market premium

FairPlay's elite market proxy (90) is above its usable production input (75). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.

FairPlay value 2,212 · Overall rank #162 · Market proxy 90 · Historical production input 75
What changes the call

What would change the call on Tua Tagovailoa

  • A second verified row that materially changes attempt volume and passing efficiency from Week 5 would test whether Tua Tagovailoa's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in efficiency, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 15 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test

Tua Tagovailoa: calculator checks after week 5 3 attempts

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Tua Tagovailoa or Sam Darnold for a lineup spot?

Tua Tagovailoa ↔ Sam Darnold (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Sam Darnold has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would J.K. Dobbins fit this roster better than Tua Tagovailoa?

Tua Tagovailoa ↔ J.K. Dobbins (calculator comparison, not a quote)

J.K. Dobbins is an Active running back with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Tua Tagovailoa dynasty value questions

Does Tua Tagovailoa's single-row passing volume support the depth tier for an established quarterback?

For Atlanta against Baltimore, Week 5 3 attempts is the only usable recent row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while efficiency is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Does week 5 3 attempts justify the market-proxy lead for Tua Tagovailoa, an established depth-tier quarterback?

A second verified row that materially changes attempt volume and passing efficiency from Week 5 would test whether Tua Tagovailoa's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material efficiency change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Tua Tagovailoa is age 28, with a career-window input score of 94/100 for QBs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 90/100 and the historical NFL production input is 75/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.

QB value context

Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the QB statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy90/100
Historical NFL production input75/100
Historical NFL opportunity input69/100
Historical NFL efficiency input57/100
Career-window input94/100
Draft-capital input92/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Career-window input is the strongest part of Tua Tagovailoa’s current profile at 94/100. Historical NFL efficiency input is the clearest source of downside at 57/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Tyreek HillWR · FA · Rank #1632,197
Jalen CokerWR · CAR · Rank #1612,228
Emmett JohnsonRB · KC · Rank #1642,182

See if your trade is fair

Start with Tua Tagovailoa in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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