QB · Jacksonville Jaguars
The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Trevor Lawrence. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Quarterback.
Lawrence threw four touchdowns on 23 attempts in Week 1, then none on 29 attempts in Week 2. Passing yards fell from 245 to 189 even as his snap share rose to 100 percent. The starting role is clear; the 19.9-point fantasy swing shows why touchdown conversion cannot be treated as stable.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policyContenders can hold a dependable starter but should carry another ceiling source. Rebuilders can buy age-26 quarterback security when the market overreacts to Week 2, while avoiding an elite price until efficiency improves.
Thirty-plus attempts, touchdown rate, explosive completions and any useful rushing are the next inputs. Full snaps protect Superflex value, but repeated sub-200-yard games would cap the weekly tier.
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Use as a QB2 or lower-end QB1 and avoid selling after one scoreless game. A tier-up is worthwhile only when the added cost materially increases weekly ceiling.
Hold because starter liquidity and age fit long timelines. Sell only for a younger quarterback with similar security or a package containing another viable starter plus premium value.
Market demand is 98, opportunity 91 and stability 91, while efficiency is 67. FairPlay values access more confidently than the current passing conversion.
Lawrence completed 52 pass attempts across 109 snaps, with 434 passing yards and four total touchdowns—all in Week 1. Week 2 supplied more attempts but no scoring conversion.
The market leads production by nine points. Starter security and age justify the premium, but efficiency must improve before Lawrence belongs with the highest-value Superflex quarterbacks.
FairPlay value 6,343 · Overall rank #28 · Market proxy 98 · Production 89These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Trevor Lawrence plus an adjustment ↔ Justin Herbert
Both offer security; Herbert carries stronger stability while Lawrence's Week 1 shows ceiling. The add should reflect evidence, not one scoreless game.
Jared Goff plus a future first ↔ Trevor Lawrence
Lawrence offers age; Goff offers current proof. The first must be priced against league quarterback scarcity.
It lowers confidence in the immediate ceiling, but full participation and 29 attempts preserve his Superflex starter foundation.
Sustained efficiency on full-game volume, rather than another isolated touchdown spike, would provide the strongest evidence.
Trevor Lawrence is age 27, which places the career-window input at 100th percentile for QBs.
Trevor Lawrence carries a 98th percentile market signal and ranks #28 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is positive, meaning dynasty demand currently runs ahead of the production input.
Within the complete QB pool, production grades at 89th percentile, opportunity at 91th percentile, and efficiency at 68th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.
Percentiles compare Trevor Lawrence with the complete current QB pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.
Career window is the strongest part of Trevor Lawrence’s current profile at 100th percentile. Efficiency is the clearest source of downside at 68th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Start with Trevor Lawrence in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.