Contenders can buy volume; rebuilders should price age
Opportunity 94 and production 89 support current use. Contenders can buy target volume at a veteran price; rebuilders should be ready to move it before age-related liquidity declines.
T.J. Hockenson
TE · Minnesota Vikings
Dynasty trade value 3,492
Dynasty rank#97out of all players
TE rank#17out of TEs
Age29years
7-day change-497-12.5%
Availability watch · Out
Does not change valueOut · Concussion. Sleeper player record updated Oct 12, 6:30 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Tight End).
Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.FairPlay editorial
Hockenson has targets but modest conversion
Hockenson drew five then four targets on 66 and 69 percent participation, catching seven passes for 65 yards. Nine targets give a usable floor, while efficiency 61 and age 29 limit a high-ceiling interpretation.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policyYards per target must improve for a higher ceiling
Five-plus targets with higher yards per target would improve the ceiling. A fall below four targets on similar snaps would reduce the floor.
Roster-specific plan
A veteran tight end whose targets outpace efficiency
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Win-now approach
Start where tight-end targets matter and buy below younger elite prices. Do not pay as though nine targets guarantee touchdown or yardage rates.
Long-term approach
Sell when a contender pays for the dependable role, seeking a younger tight end, early second, or package with a clear future asset.
Best market move
Opportunity and market are both 94, production is 89, efficiency 61 and age 77. FairPlay sees role access with limited conversion and a shorter window.
Evidence file · September 25, 2026
Nine targets produced seven catches and 65 yards
Participation held near two-thirds while targets and catches each slipped by one. The role offers floor value, not a large tier jump.
NFL Weeks 4 and 5
- Week 4: 13 targets · 13-119 receiving · 0 rec TD · 83% snaps · 24.9 PPR
- Week 5: 1 targets · 1-7 receiving · 0 rec TD · 3% snaps · 1.7 PPR
5-point market premium
Market and opportunity agree, but efficiency trails; managers are paying for target access while waiting for more valuable conversion.
FairPlay value 3,492 · Overall rank #97 · Market proxy 94 · Production 89What improves Hockenson's tier
- Five-plus targets with better yards per target would raise the ceiling.
- Continued 65%+ participation preserves the floor.
- A sustained target fall below four would pressure opportunity.
Two deals to test
Hockenson trades should separate floor from ceiling
These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Trade a second for veteran TE targets
A projected 2027 second ↔ T.J. Hockenson
The buyer gets current volume and the seller gets long-term liquidity; the pick should be meaningful because Hockenson has nine verified targets.
Move veteran floor into younger TE upside
T.J. Hockenson plus a 2027 third ↔ Harold Fannin
Fannin has a younger runway; a contender makes this move only if Hockenson fills a genuine lineup need.
Player-specific FAQ
Hockenson after nine targets and 65 yards
Why is T.J. Hockenson's efficiency low despite nine targets?
The rows show reliable targets and catches but only 65 yards, so conversion has not matched the opportunity component.
Should a rebuilder keep Hockenson for his target floor?
Only if contention is near. At 29, his current role can be more valuable to a contender than a long rebuild.
7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday
Why this value
Career window
T.J. Hockenson is age 29, which places the career-window input at 77th percentile for TEs.
Market context
T.J. Hockenson carries a 94th percentile market signal and ranks #97 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is small, so the two signals broadly agree.
TE value context
Within the complete TE pool, production grades at 89th percentile, opportunity at 94th percentile, and efficiency at 61th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.
Player-specific inputs
Model value breakdown
Percentiles compare T.J. Hockenson with the complete current TE pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.
Dynasty manager takeaway
Market demand is the strongest part of T.J. Hockenson’s current profile at 94th percentile. Efficiency is the clearest source of downside at 61th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Fair trade range
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Hunter HenryTE · NE · Rank #963,523
Tyler ShoughQB · NO · Rank #983,461
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR · Rank #953,554
See if your trade is fair
Start with T.J. Hockenson in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.