Recorded NFL weeks 8 and 9
- Week 8: 41 attempts · 321 pass yards · 2 carries · 100% snaps · 25.4 PPR
- Week 9: 31 attempts · 242 pass yards · 2 carries · 94% snaps · 16.5 PPR
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Dynasty trade value 8,971
Dynasty rank#7out of all players
QB rank#3out of QBs
Age31years
7-day change+0+0.0%
No active availability flag
Observation onlyThe current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Patrick Mahomes. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Quarterback.
Current model and recorded weekly usage
Model snapshot: November 6, 2026. Weekly file: November 11, 2026. These dates describe separate inputs.
The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer.
The search-rank proxy is 98/100 and the historical NFL production input is 97/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
Historical analysis · September 25, 2026
The commentary below is retained from its stated review date. Its statistics, model comparisons and no-data statements describe that historical evidence window, not the current weekly file or model above.
FairPlay editorial
Mahomes opened with volume, efficiency and full participation
Mahomes played every snap, attempted 74 passes, threw for 566 yards and five touchdowns, and added a rushing score across two games. Week 2 expanded to 47 attempts and 382 yards. The model ranks him sixth because current production, opportunity and efficiency all remain elite even as his age score trails younger quarterbacks.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policyProtect the anchor; trade only for another one
Contenders and rebuilders can both hold. Buyers should pay for long-duration quarterback security, not assume every week reaches 47 attempts; sellers need another elite passer or a package that materially improves multiple premium positions.
Age changes the horizon, not the current role
Full-game availability, passing volume and efficiency sustain the tier. Rushing adds occasional ceiling but is not the valuation foundation, so ordinary changes there matter less than passing role or starting security.
Roster-specific plan
A proven Superflex cornerstone with less rushing dependence
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Win-now approach
Build around him and avoid trading down simply for depth. A package must add a real weekly starter while preserving a dependable quarterback.
Long-term approach
Keep him through nearly any rebuild because elite quarterback liquidity can outlast the roster reset. Sell only for a younger cornerstone plus substantial value.
Best market move
Opportunity is 100, production 97 and efficiency 94, while market demand is slightly lower at 98 and age 77. FairPlay sees current elite evidence with a smaller long-term age premium than the youngest quarterbacks.
Evidence file · September 25, 2026
Seventy-four attempts supplied two different winning lines
Mahomes threw 27 passes with three total touchdowns in Week 1, then 47 passes for 382 yards and three scores in Week 2. Both games came on 100 percent of offensive snaps.
Usage interpretation at September 25, 2026
See the dated interpretation and source boundary in this historical analysis. Current recorded rows are shown separately above.
Model comparison at the review date
The model is marginally stronger than the market proxy because verified production remains elite. Age is the restraint, not opportunity, efficiency or starting stability.
Historical commentary; current model values and input types are shown outside this section.What can move Mahomes inside the elite tier
- Continued full participation and high pass volume preserve the floor.
- A sustained efficiency decline would matter because the market no longer adds a youth premium.
- One lower-attempt game should not change a multi-year quarterback valuation.
Two deals to test
Mahomes deals must preserve an elite foundation
Historical negotiation examples from the review date; current values are shown separately.
Choose proven passing or younger rushing leverage
Patrick Mahomes ↔ Jayden Daniels plus an adjustment
Mahomes offers stronger verified stability; Daniels offers youth and rushing. The adjustment should reflect risk tolerance, not one weekly result.
Add an elite receiver without losing a starter
Patrick Mahomes ↔ Joe Burrow plus Chris Olave
The package side gains a target leader while retaining quarterback security. The Mahomes side keeps the highest value concentration.
Player-specific FAQ
Mahomes' dynasty price after an elite volume start
Is Patrick Mahomes still worth an elite Superflex price at 31?
Yes. Full participation, 74 attempts and top-level model components support the price, though younger quarterbacks carry more age insulation.
What is a reasonable Mahomes tier-down?
Another elite, secure quarterback plus a true lineup difference-maker. Multiple uncertain assets do not replace his value density.
7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday
Why this value
Career window
Patrick Mahomes is age 31, with a career-window input score of 77/100 for QBs.
Market context
The search-rank proxy is 98/100 and the historical NFL production input is 97/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
QB value context
Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the QB statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.
Player-specific inputs
Model value breakdown
Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.
Dynasty manager takeaway
Historical NFL opportunity input is the strongest part of Patrick Mahomes’s current profile at 100/100. Career-window input is the clearest source of downside at 77/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Fair trade range
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Brock BowersTE · LV · Rank #88,811
Jadarian PriceRB · SEA · Rank #69,134
Fernando MendozaQB · LV · Rank #98,654
See if your trade is fair
Start with Patrick Mahomes in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.