Start a trade

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Back to rankings
Dynasty trade value 8,811
Dynasty rank#8out of all players
QB rank#3out of QBs
Age31years
7-day change+0+0.0%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Patrick Mahomes. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Quarterback.

Observation only
Roster-specific plan

A proven Superflex cornerstone with less rushing dependence

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

Build around him and avoid trading down simply for depth. A package must add a real weekly starter while preserving a dependable quarterback.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

Keep him through nearly any rebuild because elite quarterback liquidity can outlast the roster reset. Sell only for a younger cornerstone plus substantial value.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

Opportunity is 100, production 97 and efficiency 94, while market demand is slightly lower at 98 and age 77. FairPlay sees current elite evidence with a smaller long-term age premium than the youngest quarterbacks.

Evidence file · September 25, 2026

Seventy-four attempts supplied two different winning lines

Mahomes threw 27 passes with three total touchdowns in Week 1, then 47 passes for 382 yards and three scores in Week 2. Both games came on 100 percent of offensive snaps.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 1 and 2

  • Week 1: 27 attempts · 184 pass yards · 7 carries · 100% snaps · 21.7 PPR
  • Week 2: 47 attempts · 382 pass yards · 2 carries · 100% snaps · 29.0 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

1-point market premium

The model is marginally stronger than the market proxy because verified production remains elite. Age is the restraint, not opportunity, efficiency or starting stability.

FairPlay value 8,811 · Overall rank #8 · Market proxy 98 · Production 97
What changes the call

What can move Mahomes inside the elite tier

  • Continued full participation and high pass volume preserve the floor.
  • A sustained efficiency decline would matter because the market no longer adds a youth premium.
  • One lower-attempt game should not change a multi-year quarterback valuation.
Two deals to test

Mahomes deals must preserve an elite foundation

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Elite QB preference

Choose proven passing or younger rushing leverage

Patrick Mahomes ↔ Jayden Daniels plus an adjustment

Mahomes offers stronger verified stability; Daniels offers youth and rushing. The adjustment should reflect risk tolerance, not one weekly result.

Tier-down package

Add an elite receiver without losing a starter

Patrick Mahomes ↔ Joe Burrow plus Chris Olave

The package side gains a target leader while retaining quarterback security. The Mahomes side keeps the highest value concentration.

Player-specific FAQ

Mahomes' dynasty price after an elite volume start

Is Patrick Mahomes still worth an elite Superflex price at 31?

Yes. Full participation, 74 attempts and top-level model components support the price, though younger quarterbacks carry more age insulation.

What is a reasonable Mahomes tier-down?

Another elite, secure quarterback plus a true lineup difference-maker. Multiple uncertain assets do not replace his value density.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Patrick Mahomes is age 31, which places the career-window input at 77th percentile for QBs.

Market context

Patrick Mahomes carries a 98th percentile market signal and ranks #8 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is small, so the two signals broadly agree.

QB value context

Within the complete QB pool, production grades at 97th percentile, opportunity at 100th percentile, and efficiency at 94th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Percentiles compare Patrick Mahomes with the complete current QB pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.

Market demand98%
NFL production97%
Opportunity100%
Efficiency94%
Career window77%
Draft capital91%
Dynasty manager takeaway

Opportunity is the strongest part of Patrick Mahomes’s current profile at 100th percentile. Career window is the clearest source of downside at 77th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Brock BowersTE · LV · Rank #98,654
Jadarian PriceRB · SEA · Rank #78,971
Carnell TateWR · TEN · Rank #108,500

See if your trade is fair

Start with Patrick Mahomes in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

Build a Superflex trade