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Nico Collins

WR · Houston Texans

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Dynasty trade value 5,253
Dynasty rank#51out of all players
WR rank#21out of WRs
Age27years
7-day change-405-7.2%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Nico Collins. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Wide Receiver.

Observation only
Roster-specific plan

A prime-age receiver with incomplete current evidence

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

Start when active and verified. Buy when the price discounts the missing evidence more than the strong opener, but confirm availability outside this model before accepting a trade.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

He can fit a shorter rebuild, yet age 27 makes a two-year timeline more important. Move for a younger target earner plus value when the roster is unlikely to contend soon.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

Production is 96 and market demand 99, with stability lower at 85. FairPlay agrees with the high-end price but records that current weekly confirmation is incomplete.

Evidence file · September 25, 2026

Ten targets are meaningful; one verified game is not a trend

Collins earned ten targets, seven catches, 75 yards and a score while playing 57 snaps. The dataset supplies no second row, so every Week 2 interpretation remains outside this evidence file.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 4 and 5

  • Week 4: 8 targets · 7-118 receiving · 2 rec TD · 69% snaps · 30.8 PPR
  • Week 5: 7 targets · 5-56 receiving · 0 rec TD · 71% snaps · 10.6 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

3-point market premium

Market and production broadly agree. The actionable discount, if any, comes from evidence completeness and age-window risk rather than a poor observed role.

FairPlay value 5,253 · Overall rank #51 · Market proxy 99 · Production 96
What changes the call

Evidence that completes the Collins picture

  • A second high-participation game with eight-plus targets would validate the early target-leader case.
  • Verified repeated participation limits would require a stability discount.
  • No conclusion about Week 2 should be made until a matched row or first-party source explains it.
Two deals to test

Collins trades should price prime years and evidence

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Contender receiver

Choose present production or longer runway

Nico Collins ↔ Ladd McConkey plus an adjustment

Collins offers stronger current proof; McConkey offers age. Verify Collins' current status before paying the contender premium.

Rebuild move

Trade prime-age points for a younger core

Nico Collins plus a small adjustment ↔ Malik Nabers

Nabers offers age and market insulation but more early volatility. The add should reflect evidence, not merely name value.

Player-specific FAQ

Collins value with only one matched game

Does Nico Collins' missing Week 2 row mean he was injured?

No. The file only shows that no matched row is available. Health or availability requires a separate verified source.

What did Collins' Week 1 usage prove?

It showed a high target share, ten targets and touchdown-producing involvement in one game, not a confirmed season-long pace.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Nico Collins is age 27, which places the career-window input at 82th percentile for WRs.

Market context

Nico Collins carries a 99th percentile market signal and ranks #51 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is small, so the two signals broadly agree.

WR value context

Within the complete WR pool, production grades at 96th percentile, opportunity at 94th percentile, and efficiency at 87th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Percentiles compare Nico Collins with the complete current WR pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.

Market demand99%
NFL production96%
Opportunity94%
Efficiency87%
Career window82%
Draft capital55%
Dynasty manager takeaway

Market demand is the strongest part of Nico Collins’s current profile at 99th percentile. Draft capital is the clearest source of downside at 55th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

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See if your trade is fair

Start with Nico Collins in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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