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Marcus Mariota

QB · Washington Commanders

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Dynasty trade value 703
Dynasty rank#383out of all players
QB rank#71out of QBs
Age33years
7-day change-11-1.5%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Marcus Mariota. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 2 for Quarterback.

Observation only
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

late-career quarterback with falling usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender should keep or acquire Marcus Mariota only when the available usage does not yet prove a weekly lineup edge and the roster still retains enough playable Superflex access. Do not pay the market-proxy premium without accepting the production gap.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should shop Marcus Mariota for draft liquidity or a younger asset when another roster values the current tier more than the remaining career window. 3-week observed sample is a reason to set a bounded price, not to wait for an invented future role.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Marcus Mariota at 703. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 7 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 4 4 attempts for Washington against Indianapolis

Week 2: 16 attempts, 111 passing yards, 1 carry, 45% snaps, and 6.9 yards per attempt. Week 3: 31 attempts, 183 passing yards, 5 carries, 100% snaps, and 5.9 yards per attempt. Week 4: 4 attempts, 46 passing yards, 1 carry, 16% snaps, and 11.5 yards per attempt. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 3 and 4

  • Week 3: 31 attempts · 183 pass yards · 5 carries · 100% snaps · 20.4 PPR
  • Week 4: 4 attempts · 46 pass yards · 1 carries · 16% snaps · 5.3 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

8-point market premium

FairPlay's steady market proxy (72) is above its mixed production input (65). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.

FairPlay value 703 · Overall rank #383 · Market proxy 72 · Historical production input 65
What changes the call

What would change the call on Marcus Mariota

  • A second verified row that materially changes attempt volume and passing efficiency from Week 4 would test whether Marcus Mariota's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in opportunity, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 7 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test

Marcus Mariota: calculator checks after week 4 4 attempts

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Marcus Mariota or Jameis Winston for a lineup spot?

Marcus Mariota ↔ Jameis Winston (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Jameis Winston has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would Sterling Shepard fit this roster better than Marcus Mariota?

Marcus Mariota ↔ Sterling Shepard (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Sterling Shepard is an Active wide receiver with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Marcus Mariota dynasty value questions

Does Marcus Mariota's falling passing volume support the bench tier for a late-career quarterback?

For Washington against Indianapolis, Week 4 4 attempts fell from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while opportunity is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Does week 4 4 attempts justify the market-proxy lead for Marcus Mariota, a late-career bench-tier quarterback?

A second verified row that materially changes attempt volume and passing efficiency from Week 4 would test whether Marcus Mariota's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material opportunity change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Marcus Mariota is age 33, with a career-window input score of 68/100 for QBs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 72/100 and the historical NFL production input is 65/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.

QB value context

Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the QB statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy72/100
Historical NFL production input65/100
Historical NFL opportunity input49/100
Historical NFL efficiency input89/100
Career-window input68/100
Draft-capital input93/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Draft-capital input is the strongest part of Marcus Mariota’s current profile at 93/100. Historical NFL opportunity input is the clearest source of downside at 49/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Brevin JordanTE · HOU · Rank #384700
Will SheppardWR · MIA · Rank #382707
Adam RandallRB · BAL · Rank #385697

See if your trade is fair

Start with Marcus Mariota in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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