WR · Indianapolis Colts
The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Josh Downs. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Wide Receiver.
Josh Downs is a 25-year-old wide receiver in FairPlay's starter tier at rank #141, with a value of 2,559. For Indianapolis against Dallas, Week 9 6 targets rose from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. Week 7: 4 targets, 2 catches, 18 receiving yards, 85% snaps, and 4.5 yards per target. Week 8: 5 targets, 4 catches, 23 receiving yards, 75% snaps, and 4.6 yards per target. Week 9: 6 targets, 3 catches, 24 receiving yards, 77% snaps, and 4.0 yards per target. The roster snapshot lists Active, which is an administrative status and not a promise of future volume.
Generated from FairPlay and nflverse data · Reviewed November 6, 2026 · Editorial policyFairPlay's at the top end market proxy (95) is above its solid production input (82). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price. roster status is near the model ceiling; market proxy is the next strongest input. efficiency is low, which keeps the recommendation conditional.
The next usable row for Indianapolis against Dallas needs to show whether week 9 6 targets was a one-week result or part of a stable role. Watch targets and yards per target.
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
A contender should buy or hold Josh Downs only if the recent workload helps a real starting decision and the receiving role upgrades an actual lineup spot. Compare the cost with an active peer before paying for a name, a past result, or an unverified role expansion.
A rebuilder can retain Josh Downs's younger wide receiver window, but should sell if an offer prices more certainty than 3-week observed sample supports. The market-over-production gap is the cleanest point to test a liquidity gain.
FairPlay values Josh Downs at 2,559. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 13 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.
Week 7: 4 targets, 2 catches, 18 receiving yards, 85% snaps, and 4.5 yards per target. Week 8: 5 targets, 4 catches, 23 receiving yards, 75% snaps, and 4.6 yards per target. Week 9: 6 targets, 3 catches, 24 receiving yards, 77% snaps, and 4.0 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.
FairPlay's at the top end market proxy (95) is above its solid production input (82). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.
FairPlay value 2,559 · Overall rank #141 · Market proxy 95 · Historical production input 82These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Josh Downs ↔ Parker Washington (calculator comparison, not a quote)
Parker Washington has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.
Josh Downs ↔ Bryce Young (calculator comparison, not a quote)
Bryce Young is an Active quarterback with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.
For Indianapolis against Dallas, Week 9 6 targets rose from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while efficiency is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.
A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Josh Downs's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material efficiency change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.
Josh Downs is age 25, with a career-window input score of 94/100 for WRs.
The search-rank proxy is 95/100 and the historical NFL production input is 82/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the WR statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.
Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.
Sleeper search-rank proxy is the strongest part of Josh Downs’s current profile at 95/100. Historical NFL efficiency input is the clearest source of downside at 49/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Start with Josh Downs in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.