Recorded NFL weeks 8 and 9
- Week 8: 48 attempts · 462 pass yards · 3 carries · 100% snaps · 39.5 PPR
- Week 9: 29 attempts · 271 pass yards · 3 carries · 100% snaps · 29.5 PPR
Joe Burrow
QB · Cincinnati Bengals
Dynasty trade value 9,999
Dynasty rank#1out of all players
QB rank#1out of QBs
Age29years
7-day change+135+1.4%
No active availability flag
Observation onlyThe current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Joe Burrow. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Quarterback.
Current model and recorded weekly usage
Model snapshot: November 6, 2026. Weekly file: November 11, 2026. These dates describe separate inputs.
The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer.
The search-rank proxy is 99/100 and the historical NFL production input is 96/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
Historical analysis · September 25, 2026
The commentary below is retained from its stated review date. Its statistics, model comparisons and no-data statements describe that historical evidence window, not the current weekly file or model above.
FairPlay editorial
Burrow's value comes from passing certainty
Burrow played every snap and attempted 66 passes across two games, producing steady but not explosive fantasy totals. His top model rank reflects elite market, opportunity and efficiency inputs. Unlike dual-threat peers, the value case depends on sustained passing volume and conversion rather than a large rushing floor.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policyPay for stability, not a rushing ceiling he does not have
Hold across all roster timelines. Buyers should compare his passing stability with the higher weekly variance and rushing ceiling of other elite quarterbacks instead of expecting identical scoring shapes.
Volume and efficiency must stay paired
Attempts, touchdown rate and protection-driven efficiency are the main inputs. A modest carry profile is already priced in; loss of passing volume would matter far more.
Roster-specific plan
A durable Superflex foundation with a clear archetype
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Win-now approach
Build around him and avoid unnecessary tier-downs. Trade only if the package includes another reliable quarterback plus a starter who materially improves the lineup.
Long-term approach
Keep him because elite quarterback liquidity survives long rebuilds. A sale requires another young starter and premium capital, not several speculative picks.
Best market move
Market and model inputs agree near the top. FairPlay's price reflects a proven passing anchor, while the absence of elite rushing explains why some weeks trail the dual-threat ceiling.
Evidence file · September 25, 2026
Sixty-six attempts confirm access, not a rushing shortcut
Burrow completed two full games with 461 passing yards and only six total carries. The weekly scores were steady because the role is pass-driven; managers should not compare them directly with rushing-quarterback peaks.
Usage interpretation at September 25, 2026
See the dated interpretation and source boundary in this historical analysis. Current recorded rows are shown separately above.
Model comparison at the review date
Market demand is 99 and efficiency is 96, with no meaningful valuation conflict. The relevant comparison is archetype: high passing stability versus higher-rushing alternatives.
Historical commentary; current model values and input types are shown outside this section.What could move Burrow from the top tier
- Sustained high pass volume preserves the Superflex floor.
- Efficiency decline across several games would matter because rushing cannot fully offset it.
- Full-time starting access and passing health outweigh ordinary weekly scoring variance.
Two deals to test
Burrow trades should keep an elite passer in the return
Historical negotiation examples from the review date; current values are shown separately.
Compare passing stability and rushing ceiling
Joe Burrow plus an adjustment ↔ Josh Allen
Allen commands the add for rushing leverage; Burrow remains a strong anchor when the premium becomes excessive.
Turn quarterback value into a second starter
Joe Burrow ↔ Dak Prescott plus Ja'Marr Chase
The incoming receiver must be a true lineup difference-maker. Otherwise Burrow's value density is preferable.
Player-specific FAQ
Burrow's elite value without elite rushing
Why can Joe Burrow rank with rushing quarterbacks?
Full-time starting security, passing volume, efficiency and long-term market demand create a stable Superflex foundation even with fewer rushing points.
What should a Burrow tier-down return?
Another dependable starting quarterback plus a premium starter or asset. Extra quantity alone does not replace elite quarterback security.
7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday
Why this value
Career window
Joe Burrow is age 29, with a career-window input score of 88/100 for QBs.
Market context
The search-rank proxy is 99/100 and the historical NFL production input is 96/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
QB value context
Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the QB statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.
Player-specific inputs
Model value breakdown
Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.
Dynasty manager takeaway
Sleeper search-rank proxy is the strongest part of Joe Burrow’s current profile at 99/100. Career-window input is the clearest source of downside at 88/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Fair trade range
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL · Rank #29,864
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA · Rank #39,731
Josh AllenQB · BUF · Rank #49,600
See if your trade is fair
Start with Joe Burrow in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.