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Jalen Nailor

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

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Dynasty trade value 1,167
Dynasty rank#278out of all players
WR rank#114out of WRs
Age27years
7-day change-11-0.9%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Jalen Nailor. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 2 for Wide Receiver.

Observation only
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

established wide receiver with flat usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender should buy or hold Jalen Nailor only if the recent workload helps a real starting decision and the receiving role upgrades an actual lineup spot. Compare the cost with an active peer before paying for a name, a past result, or an unverified role expansion.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should compare Jalen Nailor's current liquidity with a future pick or younger position asset before deciding to hold. The 3-week observed sample should determine the price floor; it does not forecast the next season.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Jalen Nailor at 1,167. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 30 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 9 4 targets for Las Vegas against San Francisco

Week 7: 5 targets, 2 catches, 14 receiving yards, 75% snaps, and 2.8 yards per target. Week 8: 4 targets, 4 catches, 38 receiving yards, 46% snaps, and 9.5 yards per target. Week 9: 4 targets, 2 catches, 9 receiving yards, 74% snaps, and 2.3 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 8 and 9

  • Week 8: 4 targets · 4 receptions · 38 receiving yards · 1 rec TD · 46% snaps · 13.8 PPR
  • Week 9: 4 targets · 2 receptions · 9 receiving yards · 0 rec TD · 74% snaps · 2.9 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

30-point market premium

FairPlay's elite market proxy (93) is above its uncertain production input (63). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.

FairPlay value 1,167 · Overall rank #278 · Market proxy 93 · Historical production input 63
What changes the call

What would change the call on Jalen Nailor

  • A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Jalen Nailor's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in draft capital, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 30 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test

Jalen Nailor: calculator checks after week 9 4 targets

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Jalen Nailor or Ryan Flournoy for a lineup spot?

Jalen Nailor ↔ Ryan Flournoy (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Ryan Flournoy has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would Malik Willis fit this roster better than Jalen Nailor?

Jalen Nailor ↔ Malik Willis (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Malik Willis is an Active quarterback with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Jalen Nailor dynasty value questions

Does Jalen Nailor's steady target volume support the bench tier for an established wide receiver?

For Las Vegas against San Francisco, Week 9 4 targets matched the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while draft capital is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Does week 9 4 targets justify the market-proxy lead for Jalen Nailor, an established bench-tier wide receiver?

A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Jalen Nailor's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material draft capital change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Jalen Nailor is age 27, with a career-window input score of 82/100 for WRs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 93/100 and the historical NFL production input is 63/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.

WR value context

Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the WR statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy93/100
Historical NFL production input63/100
Historical NFL opportunity input53/100
Historical NFL efficiency input79/100
Career-window input82/100
Draft-capital input20/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Sleeper search-rank proxy is the strongest part of Jalen Nailor’s current profile at 93/100. Draft-capital input is the clearest source of downside at 20/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ · Rank #2771,173
Mason PlineTE · FA · Rank #2791,161
Trey BensonRB · ARI · Rank #2761,178

See if your trade is fair

Start with Jalen Nailor in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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