Recorded NFL weeks 8 and 9
- Week 8: 16 targets · 11 receptions · 141 receiving yards · 1 rec TD · 96% snaps · 31.1 PPR
- Week 9: 12 targets · 10 receptions · 155 receiving yards · 1 rec TD · 84% snaps · 31.5 PPR
Ja'Marr Chase
WR · Cincinnati Bengals
Dynasty trade value 8,056
Dynasty rank#13out of all players
WR rank#3out of WRs
Age26years
7-day change+0+0.0%
No active availability flag
Observation onlyThe current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Ja'Marr Chase. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Wide Receiver.
Current model and recorded weekly usage
Model snapshot: November 6, 2026. Weekly file: November 11, 2026. These dates describe separate inputs.
The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer.
The search-rank proxy is 100/100 and the historical NFL production input is 100/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
Historical analysis · September 25, 2026
The commentary below is retained from its stated review date. Its statistics, model comparisons and no-data statements describe that historical evidence window, not the current weekly file or model above.
FairPlay editorial
Chase's Week 2 demand answered the quiet opener
Chase played 94 and 88 percent of snaps, then rebounded from four targets and 12 yards to nine targets, 75 yards and 26.5 PPR points. That response supports an elite opportunity floor. The model's lower efficiency component is the main reason not to treat every week as a guaranteed ceiling game.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policyBuy target variance, not role decline
Contenders and rebuilders should hold unless offered an equally elite receiver or scarce quarterback plus value. Buy when a manager mistakes a quiet target game for structural decline.
Efficiency is the remaining swing factor
First-read and red-zone work can explain whether efficiency is likely to rebound, but the public snapshot already confirms near-full-time participation and improved target demand.
Roster-specific plan
Chase stays a cornerstone across roster clocks
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Win-now approach
Keep him as a weekly anchor. A trade makes sense only when it creates a clear quarterback or multi-position advantage without replacing one elite asset with several uncertain ones.
Long-term approach
Hold because age, market demand and opportunity protect future liquidity. Do not sell simply because the roster is not competing; elite receivers can bridge rebuilding seasons.
Best market move
Market, production and opportunity all sit at the top. The best buying windows come from temporary scoring or efficiency dips while snaps and targets remain strong.
Evidence file · September 25, 2026
Week 2 restored target demand without changing access
Chase remained above 88 percent of snaps in both games. Targets more than doubled from four to nine, producing a 23.3-point PPR rebound.
Usage interpretation at September 25, 2026
See the dated interpretation and source boundary in this historical analysis. Current recorded rows are shown separately above.
Model comparison at the review date
Market and production are both 100. Efficiency is lower, so the model views conversion volatility—not role access—as the clearest reason for weekly swings.
Historical commentary; current model values and input types are shown outside this section.What could move Chase from the elite tier
- Sustained target erosion despite full snaps would create a real downgrade signal.
- Red-zone and first-read demand preserve the ceiling through catch-rate variance.
- One quiet game cannot outweigh a stable multiweek role.
Two deals to test
Chase trades should preserve cornerstone density
Historical negotiation examples from the review date; current values are shown separately.
Compare durability and weekly role
Ja'Marr Chase ↔ Jaxon Smith-Njigba plus an adjustment
Both sides retain a receiver cornerstone. The adjustment reflects league preference, age and the current model gap.
Turn elite WR value into quarterback scarcity
Ja'Marr Chase plus a first ↔ Josh Allen
The quarterback side should command the premium. Make the move only when the roster can replace Chase's target floor.
Player-specific FAQ
Chase value after one quiet target week
Was Ja'Marr Chase's Week 1 a dynasty warning?
Not by itself. Week 2 restored target demand while snap share remained elite in both games.
Should rebuilders trade Chase for picks?
Only for an overwhelming return. His age and liquidity already fit a long rebuild better than uncertain picks.
7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday
Why this value
Career window
Ja'Marr Chase is age 26, with a career-window input score of 88/100 for WRs.
Market context
The search-rank proxy is 100/100 and the historical NFL production input is 100/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
WR value context
Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the WR statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.
Player-specific inputs
Model value breakdown
Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.
Dynasty manager takeaway
Sleeper search-rank proxy is the strongest part of Ja'Marr Chase’s current profile at 100/100. Historical NFL efficiency input is the clearest source of downside at 75/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Fair trade range
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI · Rank #147,913
Sam LaPortaTE · DET · Rank #128,201
Bo NixQB · DEN · Rank #157,773
See if your trade is fair
Start with Ja'Marr Chase in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.