Questionable · Groin. Sleeper player record updated Nov 5, 9:30 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Tight End).
Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.
Does not change valueData-driven analysis
FairPlay editorial
Harold Fannin Jr.'s week 9 2 targets: what the latest row shows
Harold Fannin Jr. is a 22-year-old tight end in FairPlay's starter tier at rank #79, with a value of 4,097. For Cleveland against New Orleans, Week 9 2 targets fell from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. Week 7: 9 targets, 6 catches, 91 receiving yards, 83% snaps, and 10.1 yards per target. Week 8: 12 targets, 10 catches, 154 receiving yards, 86% snaps, and 12.8 yards per target. Week 9: 2 targets, 2 catches, 42 receiving yards, 84% snaps, and 21.0 yards per target. The roster snapshot lists Active, which is an administrative status and not a promise of future volume.
Generated from FairPlay and nflverse data · Reviewed November 6, 2026 · Editorial policy
roster status support and efficiency risk
FairPlay's near the model ceiling market proxy (97) and near the model ceiling production input (97) are close. The value is not being pulled materially in one direction by that comparison. roster status is near the model ceiling; opportunity is the next strongest input. efficiency is very low, which keeps the recommendation conditional.
Cleveland against New Orleans: can week 9 2 targets hold for this very early-career tight end?
The next usable row for Cleveland against New Orleans needs to show whether week 9 2 targets was a one-week result or part of a stable role. Watch targets and yards per target.
Roster-specific plan
very early-career tight end with falling usage
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Contending roster
Win-now approach
A contender should treat Harold Fannin Jr. as a lineup purchase only when the available usage does not yet prove a weekly lineup edge and the tight-end edge exceeds a cheaper active alternative. Do not use the current profile to assume routes, targets, or a guaranteed scoring outcome.
Rebuilding roster
Long-term approach
A rebuilder can retain Harold Fannin Jr.'s younger tight end window, but should sell if an offer prices more certainty than 3-week observed sample supports. Do not confuse a production lead with permanent insulation.
Negotiation edge
Best market move
FairPlay values Harold Fannin Jr. at 4,097. FairPlay's market proxy and production input are close by 0 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.
Evidence file · November 6, 2026
Week 9 2 targets for Cleveland against New Orleans
Week 7: 9 targets, 6 catches, 91 receiving yards, 83% snaps, and 10.1 yards per target. Week 8: 12 targets, 10 catches, 154 receiving yards, 86% snaps, and 12.8 yards per target. Week 9: 2 targets, 2 catches, 42 receiving yards, 84% snaps, and 21.0 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.
FairPlay's near the model ceiling market proxy (97) and near the model ceiling production input (97) are close. The value is not being pulled materially in one direction by that comparison.
FairPlay value 4,097 · Overall rank #79 · Market proxy 97 · Historical production input 97What changes the call
What would change the call on Harold Fannin Jr.
A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Harold Fannin Jr.'s latest role is repeatable.
A material move in efficiency, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
A wider split between the FairPlay market proxy and production-model input would change the currently aligned valuation case.
Two deals to test
Harold Fannin Jr.: calculator checks after week 9 2 targets
These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Same-position comparison
Harold Fannin Jr. or Brenton Strange for a lineup spot?
Harold Fannin Jr. ↔ Brenton Strange (calculator comparison, not a quote)
Brenton Strange has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.
Roster-build comparison
Would Germie Bernard fit this roster better than Harold Fannin Jr.?
Harold Fannin Jr. ↔ Germie Bernard (calculator comparison, not a quote)
Germie Bernard is an Active wide receiver with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.
Player-specific FAQ
Harold Fannin Jr. dynasty value questions
Does Harold Fannin Jr.'s falling target volume support the starter tier for a very early-career tight end?
For Cleveland against New Orleans, Week 9 2 targets fell from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while efficiency is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.
Would weaker very low efficiency outweigh near the model ceiling roster status for Harold Fannin Jr.?
A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Harold Fannin Jr.'s latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material efficiency change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.
7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday
Why this value
Career window
Harold Fannin Jr. is age 22, with a career-window input score of 93/100 for TEs.
Market context
The search-rank proxy is 97/100 and the historical NFL production input is 97/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.
TE value context
Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the TE statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.
Player-specific inputs
Model value breakdown
Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.
Sleeper search-rank proxy97/100
Historical NFL production input97/100
Historical NFL opportunity input98/100
Historical NFL efficiency input38/100
Career-window input93/100
Draft-capital input59/100
Dynasty manager takeaway
Historical NFL opportunity input is the strongest part of Harold Fannin Jr.’s current profile at 98/100. Historical NFL efficiency input is the clearest source of downside at 38/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.