WR · New York Jets
The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Garrett Wilson. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 1 for Wide Receiver.
Wilson drew seven targets in each game while his snap share rose from 75 to 88 percent. He converted 11 catches into 136 yards and a touchdown, but the model's efficiency input is only 38. The market is paying for a sustained target leader; FairPlay wants the expanding role to produce more efficient high-value outcomes over time.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policyRebuilders can hold the age-26 receiver because participation and demand are strong. Contenders can buy when the price reflects the efficiency gap, but should not pay as though every seven-target game is automatically elite.
Eight-plus targets, air-yard share, red-zone work and conversion on the expanded snap role will decide the next tier. Rising snaps with flat targets improves access but not necessarily dominance.
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Start him as a strong weekly receiver and buy when the cost sits below the truly elite target earners. Avoid adding a premium solely for name recognition.
Hold through a normal rebuild; the position and age preserve liquidity. Sell only for a younger elite receiver, scarce quarterback or premium capital package.
Market demand is 98 and opportunity 98, while production is 94 and efficiency 38. FairPlay's disagreement is specific: access is strong, but the larger valuation still assumes improved conversion.
Wilson caught six passes for 79 yards in Week 1 and five for 57 plus a score in Week 2. Participation increased by 13 percentage points, but target count stayed at seven.
The market sees an elite receiver path; the model sees near-elite opportunity with a large efficiency discount. More high-value targets or better conversion can close it without requiring an unsustainable touchdown pace.
FairPlay value 4,557 · Overall rank #67 · Market proxy 98 · Production 94These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Garrett Wilson ↔ Malik Nabers plus an adjustment
Wilson has steadier early targets; Nabers offers a younger window and wider outcome range. The add pays for verified floor.
Rashee Rice plus a future first ↔ Garrett Wilson
The Wilson side buys participation and target stability. The package side retains more total liquidity if the first is credible.
The model sees strong opportunity and participation but less efficient conversion across the broader input set. It is a specific discount, not a claim that the role is poor.
Expanded snaps paired with more high-value targets or better conversion would close the current market-model gap.
Garrett Wilson is age 26, which places the career-window input at 88th percentile for WRs.
Garrett Wilson carries a 98th percentile market signal and ranks #67 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is small, so the two signals broadly agree.
Within the complete WR pool, production grades at 94th percentile, opportunity at 98th percentile, and efficiency at 38th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.
Percentiles compare Garrett Wilson with the complete current WR pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.
Market demand is the strongest part of Garrett Wilson’s current profile at 98th percentile. Efficiency is the clearest source of downside at 38th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Start with Garrett Wilson in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.