WR · Buffalo Bills
Out · Shoulder - AC Joint. Sleeper player record updated Oct 12, 11:10 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Wide Receiver).
Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.Moore opened with eight targets, 100 yards and a touchdown on 76 percent of snaps, then played 31 percent of snaps with no targets and one carry for minus-one yard. That is a material participation change. The public usage row does not explain why, so FairPlay treats it as uncertainty rather than inventing an injury or role demotion.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policyContenders should confirm current availability and expected participation before trading. Rebuilders can use the Week 1 production baseline to seek younger assets, but should not accept a panic discount based on an unexplained single row.
A return to 70-percent-plus snaps and target involvement would restore the contender case quickly. Another partial game, especially with official context, would require a larger stability discount.
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Hold until the participation picture is verified. Buy only after a first-party or matched statistical source confirms normal access; do not guess from the zero-target line.
Shop on any verified return to a full role because age 29 narrows the future window. Prefer one credible younger receiver or premium pick over multiple uncertain pieces.
Market demand is 98 and model stability 100, but the current Week 2 row conflicts with that broader baseline. Production at 89 and age at 72 support value while making new evidence especially important.
Moore's snap share fell 45 percentage points. The difference between 21.0 and minus-0.1 PPR points was not ordinary efficiency variance; access itself changed.
The market leads production by nine points and the broader stability score has not yet absorbed the observed Week 2 participation. Managers should wait for verified context instead of treating either week as normal.
FairPlay value 3,284 · Overall rank #105 · Market proxy 98 · Production 90These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
DJ Moore plus an adjustment ↔ Terry McLaurin
Moore has the stronger Week 1 ceiling; McLaurin has two matched games. Verify both roles before setting the adjustment.
DJ Moore plus an adjustment ↔ Luther Burden
Burden has role uncertainty of his own but a longer age window. The add should reflect Moore's proven production history.
Not without context. The snap collapse is a real warning, but its cause and persistence must be verified before a major repricing.
A normal-participation game with meaningful targets would show that Week 2 was not his new role baseline.
DJ Moore is age 29, which places the career-window input at 72th percentile for WRs.
DJ Moore carries a 98th percentile market signal and ranks #105 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is positive, meaning dynasty demand currently runs ahead of the production input.
Within the complete WR pool, production grades at 90th percentile, opportunity at 87th percentile, and efficiency at 59th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.
Percentiles compare DJ Moore with the complete current WR pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.
Market demand is the strongest part of DJ Moore’s current profile at 98th percentile. Efficiency is the clearest source of downside at 59th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Start with DJ Moore in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.