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Darren Waller

TE · Carolina Panthers

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Dynasty trade value 1,748
Dynasty rank#196out of all players
TE rank#38out of TEs
Age34years
7-day change+12+0.7%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Darren Waller. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 2 for Tight End.

Observation only
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

late-career tight end with rising usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender should treat Darren Waller as a lineup purchase only when the recent workload helps a real starting decision and the tight-end edge exceeds a cheaper active alternative. Do not use the current profile to assume routes, targets, or a guaranteed scoring outcome.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder should shop Darren Waller for draft liquidity or a younger asset when another roster values the current tier more than the remaining career window. 3-week observed sample is a reason to set a bounded price, not to wait for an invented future role.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Darren Waller at 1,748. FairPlay's production input sits ahead of its market proxy by 9 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 9 10 targets for Carolina against Denver

Week 7: 2 targets, 1 catch, 50 receiving yards, 45% snaps, and 25.0 yards per target. Week 8: 2 targets, 1 catch, 11 receiving yards, 62% snaps, and 5.5 yards per target. Week 9: 10 targets, 8 catches, 90 receiving yards, 53% snaps, and 9.0 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 8 and 9

  • Week 8: 2 targets · 1 receptions · 11 receiving yards · 0 rec TD · 62% snaps · 2.1 PPR
  • Week 9: 10 targets · 8 receptions · 90 receiving yards · 1 rec TD · 53% snaps · 23.0 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

10-point production premium

FairPlay's at the top end production input (94) is above its above average market proxy (85). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.

FairPlay value 1,748 · Overall rank #196 · Market proxy 85 · Historical production input 94
What changes the call

What would change the call on Darren Waller

  • A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Darren Waller's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in draft capital, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the roster status-led thesis.
  • A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 9 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test

Darren Waller: calculator checks after week 9 10 targets

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Darren Waller or Colby Parkinson for a lineup spot?

Darren Waller ↔ Colby Parkinson (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Colby Parkinson has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would Cooper Kupp fit this roster better than Darren Waller?

Darren Waller ↔ Cooper Kupp (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Cooper Kupp is an Active wide receiver with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Darren Waller dynasty value questions

Does Darren Waller's rising target volume support the depth tier for a late-career tight end?

For Carolina against Denver, Week 9 10 targets rose from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is roster status (100), while draft capital is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Can week 9 10 targets sustain the production lead for Darren Waller, a late-career depth-tier tight end?

A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Darren Waller's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material draft capital change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Darren Waller is age 34, with a career-window input score of 56/100 for TEs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 85/100 and the historical NFL production input is 94/100. These are separate model inputs, not verified trade prices or current-season performance.

TE value context

Historical production, opportunity and efficiency are normalized within the TE statistical group. The market proxy uses the full player pool; career-window and draft-capital inputs use their own scales.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. The production model uses completed 2020–2025 NFL seasons. The current-season usage file is a separate evidence layer. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy85/100
Historical NFL production input94/100
Historical NFL opportunity input89/100
Historical NFL efficiency input90/100
Career-window input56/100
Draft-capital input20/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Historical NFL production input is the strongest part of Darren Waller’s current profile at 94/100. Draft-capital input is the clearest source of downside at 20/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR · Rank #1951,760
Miller MossQB · CHI · Rank #1971,736
Cyrus AllenWR · KC · Rank #1941,772

See if your trade is fair

Start with Darren Waller in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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