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Bryce Lance

WR · New Orleans Saints

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Dynasty trade value 944
Dynasty rank#322out of all players
WR rank#132out of WRs
Age24years
7-day change-18-1.9%
No active availability flag

The current Sleeper roster snapshot does not include an injury or practice designation for Bryce Lance. nflverse lists the player at depth rank 3 for Wide Receiver.

Observation only
Data-driven analysis
Roster-specific plan

mid-20s wide receiver with falling usage

The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.

Contending roster

Win-now approach

A contender should buy or hold Bryce Lance only if the available usage does not yet prove a weekly lineup edge and the receiving role upgrades an actual lineup spot. Compare the cost with an active peer before paying for a name, a past result, or an unverified role expansion.

Rebuilding roster

Long-term approach

A rebuilder can retain Bryce Lance's younger wide receiver window, but should sell if an offer prices more certainty than 3-week observed sample supports. The market-over-production gap is the cleanest point to test a liquidity gain.

Negotiation edge

Best market move

FairPlay values Bryce Lance at 944. FairPlay's market proxy sits ahead of its production input by 14 points. Treat that as a model comparison, not a verified ADP or trade price.

Evidence file · November 6, 2026

Week 9 1 targets for New Orleans against Cleveland

Week 6: 4 targets, 2 catches, 9 receiving yards, 50% snaps, and 2.3 yards per target. Week 7: 2 targets, 2 catches, 12 receiving yards, 79% snaps, and 6.0 yards per target. Week 9: 1 target, 0 catches, 0 receiving yards, 51% snaps, and 0.0 yards per target. This is observed box-score usage and offensive-snap context only.

Observed usage

NFL Weeks 7 and 9

  • Week 7: 2 targets · 2 receptions · 12 receiving yards · 0 rec TD · 79% snaps · 3.2 PPR
  • Week 9: 1 targets · 0 receptions · 0 receiving yards · 0 rec TD · 51% snaps · 0.0 PPR
Market price vs model evidence

Projection input comparison

FairPlay's usable market proxy (75) is above its uncertain production input (61). This is a FairPlay input comparison, not a verified external ADP or market price.

FairPlay value 944 · Overall rank #322 · Market proxy 75 · Projected production input 61
What changes the call

What would change the call on Bryce Lance

  • A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Bryce Lance's latest role is repeatable.
  • A material move in draft capital, currently the weakest scored input, would challenge the career window-led thesis.
  • A narrowing or wider FairPlay market-proxy/production-model gap from the current 14 points would change the disagreement being priced.
Two deals to test

Bryce Lance: calculator checks after week 9 1 targets

These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.

Same-position comparison

Bryce Lance or DeMario Douglas for a lineup spot?

Bryce Lance ↔ DeMario Douglas (calculator comparison, not a quote)

DeMario Douglas has an Active roster status and a usable local usage row. Compare each player's FairPlay value and current workload in the calculator. This page does not claim that the swap is even in an outside market.

Roster-build comparison

Would Seth McGowan fit this roster better than Bryce Lance?

Bryce Lance ↔ Seth McGowan (calculator comparison, not a quote)

Seth McGowan is an Active running back with a usable local usage row. Compare the two values in the calculator, then decide whether the positional change helps this roster. No outside-market adjustment is asserted.

Player-specific FAQ

Bryce Lance dynasty value questions

Does Bryce Lance's falling target volume support the bench tier for a mid-20s wide receiver?

For New Orleans against Cleveland, Week 9 1 targets fell from the prior usable row. The decision is whether that workload supports the current dynasty value. FairPlay's strongest scored input is career window (100), while draft capital is the main limitation. The usage record can test that read but cannot verify an external price or future outcome.

Does week 9 1 targets justify the market-proxy lead for Bryce Lance, a mid-20s bench-tier wide receiver?

A second verified row that materially changes target volume and yards per target from Week 9 would test whether Bryce Lance's latest role is repeatable. Separately, a material draft capital change or a different market-proxy/production-model gap would require a new FairPlay read.

7-day trade value trend
7 days agoToday

Why this value

Career window

Bryce Lance is age 24, with a career-window input score of 100/100 for WRs.

Market context

The search-rank proxy is 75/100. Production, opportunity and efficiency are projection-derived inputs, not measured NFL performance. Agreement among these inputs is not independent on-field confirmation.

WR value context

These WR projection inputs combine prior information; they are not observed NFL percentiles. Current-season weekly records are shown separately and do not change the published production window.

Player-specific inputs

Model value breakdown

Normalized model input scores, not probabilities. Projection-derived scores are estimates. They do not establish a measured NFL role, even when a separate current-season weekly record exists. The career-window and draft-capital scales are not empirical percentiles.

Sleeper search-rank proxy75/100
Projected production input61/100
Projected opportunity input85/100
Projected efficiency input55/100
Career-window input100/100
Draft-capital input36/100
Dynasty manager takeaway

Career-window input is the strongest part of Bryce Lance’s current profile at 100/100. Draft-capital input is the clearest source of downside at 36/100. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.

Fair trade range

Comparable values to guide your offers.

Ahmarean BrownWR · FA · Rank #321948
Damien HarrisRB · FA · Rank #323939
Dylan ParhamTE · FA · Rank #320953

See if your trade is fair

Start with Bryce Lance in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.

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