QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Out · Thumb. Sleeper player record updated Oct 9, 3:25 PM UTC. nflverse depth rank: 1 (Quarterback).
Structured status · higher confidence · Fresh within the seven-day observation window.Mayfield played every offensive snap in both sampled games and attempted 28 then 34 passes, confirming the starter floor that matters in Superflex. The concern is that 216 and 182 passing yards produced only 11.6 and 12.2 PPR points. His current price needs either stronger efficiency or more rushing and touchdown leverage.
Player-specific analysis · Reviewed September 25, 2026 · Editorial policyA contender can acquire the dependable starts without paying for an elite ceiling. A rebuilder should sell only when another manager prices multiple seasons of QB2 access; moving a starting quarterback for generic picks without a replacement ignores Superflex scarcity.
Track yards per attempt, pressure response and red-zone conversion across a larger sample. Full snap shares protect the floor, but passing volume that does not create explosive plays limits the distance between Mayfield and cheaper veteran starters.
The same player can require a different decision depending on your competitive window and the liquidity of the return.
Use Mayfield as a weekly QB2 and spend premium capital elsewhere. Buy when the seller discounts him for a quiet fantasy week, but do not add a first to another stable starter unless the roster receives a clear points upgrade.
Hold until a quarterback-needy contender pays for availability and job security. The preferred exit returns a younger quarterback bet plus a first, or multiple liquid assets with enough value to replace the lost Superflex start.
The market proxy is well ahead of production because reliable starts are scarce. That premium is rational within limits; it becomes vulnerable if full-game participation continues to yield replacement-level fantasy totals.
Mayfield logged 100 percent snap shares in both games and increased attempts from 28 to 34. Passing yardage fell and the PPR totals stayed near 12, separating role confidence from fantasy ceiling.
The market signal leads production by about thirteen points. FairPlay keeps him valuable because quarterback scarcity is applied separately, but the model does not treat stable employment as elite scoring.
FairPlay value 4,245 · Overall rank #75 · Market proxy 97 · Production 84These are negotiation scenarios calibrated to the current FairPlay tier, not promises that every league will price the assets identically.
Quentin Johnston plus a future second ↔ Baker Mayfield
The contender buys role certainty. The rebuilding seller should require the pick because quarterback starts are harder to replace than receiver depth.
Baker Mayfield plus a first ↔ C.J. Stroud
This is a negotiation opener, not an automatic fair deal. The buyer of Stroud pays for age insulation; the other side gains current stability and flexible capital.
Context matters. A late first can be reasonable for a contender lacking a QB2, but the early scoring sample does not justify an elite-quarterback price.
When a contender pays for multiple seasons of starts and the return includes enough liquid value to offset losing a scarce lineup position.
Baker Mayfield is age 31, which places the career-window input at 77th percentile for QBs.
Baker Mayfield carries a 97th percentile market signal and ranks #75 overall. The gap between market demand and on-field production is positive, meaning dynasty demand currently runs ahead of the production input.
Within the complete QB pool, production grades at 84th percentile, opportunity at 88th percentile, and efficiency at 77th percentile. Superflex position scarcity is applied separately.
Percentiles compare Baker Mayfield with the complete current QB pool. They explain the published value; they are not separate fantasy-point projections.
Market demand is the strongest part of Baker Mayfield’s current profile at 97th percentile. Career window is the clearest source of downside at 77th percentile. For trade decisions, compare that strength-and-risk mix with your roster timeline rather than relying on the overall value alone.
Comparable values to guide your offers.
Start with Baker Mayfield in the dedicated Superflex calculator, then add the other side of the offer.